This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Northeastern at Monmouth: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jan 19, 2026 11:00 am - West Long Branch, NJ
Odds: Monmouth by 4.5, Total Points: 143.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NE MONM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NE MONM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 55.8
Field Goal % 45.9% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 22.5
Free Throw % 68.2% 74.2%
Ball Control NE MONM
Rebounds 31.3 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.2
Turnovers 12.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.7
Steals 5.8 7.0
Fouls 16.5 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NE MONM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NE MONM
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 22.0%
Player Fouled 18.6% 23.5%
Turnover 17.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NE MONM
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 29.4%