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Miami at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 2:00 pm - Charlottesville, VA
Odds: Virginia by 7.5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ UVA

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Virginia -7.0 Official TR Pick Virginia 50% odds to cover
Virginia -7.0 Decision Tree Virginia 50% odds to cover
Virginia -7.0 Predictive Ratings Virginia 51% odds to cover
Miami +7.0 Power Rating Model Miami 58% odds to cover
Miami +7.0 Similar Games Miami 57% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv UVA
Season 18-15-1 17-17-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-9-1 11-10-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 6-4-0 4-6-0
Home 7-9-1 8-8-1
Away 11-6-0 9-9-1

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Jacksonville -20.0 W by 17 -3.0
11/06 Home Bethune -16.5 W by 40 +23.5
11/10 Home Stetson -34.0 W by 41 +7.0
11/16 Neutral Florida +11.0 L by 14 -3.0
11/20 Home Elon -20.0 W by 27 +7.0
11/23 Home Delaware St -- W by 56 --
11/27 Neutral BYU +7.0 L by 10 -3.0
11/28 Neutral Georgetown -5.5 W by 13 +7.5
12/02 Away Mississippi +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
12/06 Home Southern Miss -19.0 W by 24 +5.0
12/13 Home UL Monroe -36.0 W by 25 -11.0
12/16 Home Florida Intl -22.5 W by 17 -5.5
12/21 Home N Florida -37.5 W by 38 +0.5
12/30 Home Pittsburgh -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
01/07 Away Wake Forest +1.0 W by 4 +5.0
01/10 Home Georgia Tech -15.5 W by 10 -5.5
01/13 Away Notre Dame -5.0 W by 12 +7.0
01/17 Away Clemson +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
01/20 Home Florida St -11.0 L by 2 -13.0
01/24 Away Syracuse -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/28 Home Stanford -9.0 W by 9 0.0
01/31 Home California -11.5 L by 1 -12.5
02/07 Away Boston College -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
02/10 Home North Carolina +1.0 W by 9 +10.0
02/14 Away NC State +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
02/17 Home Virginia Tech -8.0 W by 1 -7.0
02/21 Away Virginia +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
02/24 Away Florida St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
02/28 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 22 +6.5
03/04 Away SMU +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
03/07 Home Louisville -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
03/12 Neutral Louisville +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Virginia +3.5 L by 22 -18.5
03/20 Neutral Missouri -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/22 Neutral Purdue +7.5 L by 10 -2.5

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Rider -26.5 W by 34 +7.5
11/07 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 19 -15.0
11/11 Home Hampton -24.0 W by 38 +14.0
11/15 Home Marshall -20.5 W by 26 +5.5
11/21 Neutral Northwestern -5.0 W by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral Butler -7.0 L by 7 -14.0
11/28 Home Queens -25.0 W by 25 0.0
12/03 Away Texas +3.0 W by 19 +22.0
12/06 Neutral Dayton -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/09 Home Maryland ES -36.5 W by 24 -12.5
12/20 Home Maryland -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
12/22 Home American -27.5 W by 44 +16.5
12/31 Away Virginia Tech -6.0 L by 10 -16.0
01/03 Away NC State +4.0 W by 15 +19.0
01/07 Home California -14.0 W by 24 +10.0
01/10 Home Stanford -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
01/13 Away Louisville +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/17 Away SMU -2.0 W by 4 +2.0
01/24 Home North Carolina -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
01/27 Away Notre Dame -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
01/31 Away Boston College -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
02/03 Home Pittsburgh -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
02/07 Home Syracuse -14.0 W by 13 -1.0
02/10 Away Florida St -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/14 Neutral Ohio St -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/18 Away Georgia Tech -13.0 W by 26 +13.0
02/21 Home Miami -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
02/24 Home NC State -6.5 W by 29 +22.5
02/28 Away Duke +9.5 L by 26 -16.5
03/03 Home Wake Forest -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
03/07 Home Virginia Tech -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral NC State -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/13 Neutral Miami -3.5 W by 22 +18.5
03/14 Neutral Duke +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Wright St -17.5 W by 9 -8.5
03/22 Neutral Tennessee +1.5 L by 7 -5.5