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W Kentucky at New Mexico St: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Jan 8, 2026 9:00 pm - Las Cruces, NM
Odds: New Mexico State by 2.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: WKU @ NMSU

More Games From Jan 8, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
W Kentucky +2.5 Official TR Pick W Kentucky 51% odds to cover
W Kentucky +2.5 Power Rating Model W Kentucky 54% odds to cover
W Kentucky +2.5 Decision Tree W Kentucky 51% odds to cover
New Mexico St -2.5 Similar Games New Mexico St 62% odds to cover
New Mexico St -2.5 Predictive Ratings New Mexico St 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record WKU adv NMSU
Season 15-15-0 14-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-12-0 10-12-0
Streak L3 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 7-7-0 6-6-0
Away 8-8-0 8-9-0

W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Tenn Tech -14.0 W by 12 -2.0
11/10 Away E Kentucky -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
11/16 Home Tennessee St -12.5 W by 13 +0.5
11/18 Home Bethel (TN) -- W by 30 --
11/26 Neutral Vanderbilt +17.5 L by 5 +12.5
11/27 Neutral S Florida +7.5 L by 6 +1.5
11/28 Neutral Wichita St +4.5 W by 5 +9.5
12/06 Home Evansville -12.0 W by 1 -11.0
12/10 Away Marshall +2.0 L by 16 -14.0
12/15 Home Campbellsville -- W by 43 --
12/19 Home Tulsa +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
12/29 Away Jacksonville St -2.0 L by 11 -13.0
01/02 Home Sam Houston -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
01/04 Home Louisiana Tech -10.0 W by 5 -5.0
01/08 Away New Mexico St +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
01/10 Away UTEP -4.0 W by 12 +8.0
01/14 Home Missouri St -6.5 W by 15 +8.5
01/17 Home Kennesaw St -8.0 L by 16 -24.0
01/21 Home Liberty +1.0 L by 7 -6.0
01/24 Away Sam Houston +3.5 L by 15 -11.5
01/28 Away Kennesaw St +4.5 L by 3 +1.5
01/31 Away Middle Tenn +7.5 W by 5 +12.5
02/05 Home Jacksonville St -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
02/07 Home Florida Intl -5.0 W by 10 +5.0
02/14 Home Middle Tenn -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
02/18 Away Delaware -4.0 W by 1 -3.0
02/21 Away Liberty +7.5 W by 21 +28.5
02/26 Home New Mexico St -4.5 W by 23 +18.5
02/28 Home UTEP -9.5 W by 32 +22.5
03/05 Away Missouri St -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
03/07 Away Florida Intl -1.5 L by 25 -26.5
03/12 Neutral Kennesaw St -1.5 L by 9 -10.5

New Mexico St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Adams St. -- W by 11 --
11/11 Home New Mexico Highlands -- W by 16 --
11/15 Home New Mexico +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
11/21 Home Samford -8.5 W by 9 +0.5
11/25 Neutral UC Irvine +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
11/26 Neutral Georgia St -12.0 W by 19 +7.0
12/02 Neutral S Alabama -4.0 L by 2 -6.0
12/06 Away Abl Christian -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
12/13 Neutral Tulsa +4.0 L by 13 -9.0
12/21 Home Sam Houston -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
12/28 Home University of the Southwest -- W by 71 --
01/02 Away Florida Intl -1.5 L by 15 -16.5
01/04 Away Missouri St +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/08 Home W Kentucky -2.5 W by 16 +13.5
01/10 Home Middle Tenn -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
01/15 Away Liberty +9.0 L by 2 +7.0
01/17 Away Delaware -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
01/22 Home Missouri St -6.5 L by 9 -15.5
01/24 Home Florida Intl -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
01/28 Home Delaware -12.5 L by 9 -21.5
01/31 Away Kennesaw St +2.5 L by 23 -20.5
02/04 Away Louisiana Tech +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
02/07 Away UTEP -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/11 Home Liberty +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
02/14 Away Jacksonville St +2.0 W by 9 +11.0
02/21 Home UTEP -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/26 Away W Kentucky +4.5 L by 23 -18.5
02/28 Away Middle Tenn +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
03/05 Home Jacksonville St -6.5 W by 2 -4.5
03/07 Home Kennesaw St -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/10 Neutral Jacksonville St -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
03/11 Neutral Sam Houston +4.5 L by 8 -3.5