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Maryland ES at E Carolina: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 2, 2025 7:00 pm - Greenville, NC
Odds: East Carolina by 13, Total Points: 127

Matchup Menu: UMES @ ECU

More Games From Dec 2, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES ECU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMES ECU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 53.0
Field Goal % 39.6% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 31.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 29.3
Free Throw % 71.0% 69.8%
Ball Control UMES ECU
Rebounds 32.4 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 12.5
Turnovers 14.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.8
Steals 4.9 8.4
Fouls 17.3 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES ECU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMES ECU
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 22.1%
Player Fouled 18.7% 25.0%
Turnover 20.6% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES ECU
Shot Blocked 7.3% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 36.7%