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Albany at UMBC: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 1:00 pm - Baltimore, MD
Odds: UMBC by 7.5, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: ALBY @ UMBC

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 145.0	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 145.0	Similar Games	62% odds to go over
Over 145.0	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ALBY	UMBC
Season	14-15-0	14-17-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-8-0	8-11-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	4-6-0
Home	4-5-0	7-8-0
Away	10-10-0	7-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Albany Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Marquette	149.0	53-80	Under	-16.0
11/08	Away	UMass	155.5	62-83	Under	-10.5
11/11	Home	SUNY-Delhi	--	115-52	Under	--
11/14	Away	Rhode Island	151.0	61-80	Under	-10.0
11/18	Home	Paul Smith's College	--	106-57	Under	--
11/21	Away	Siena	141.0	63-73	Under	-5.0
11/28	Neutral	Colgate	141.5	67-69	Under	-5.5
11/29	Neutral	Fordham	138.5	68-88	Over	+17.5
11/30	Neutral	SUNY-Oneonta	--	90-62	Under	--
12/06	Away	Columbia	144.5	65-93	Over	+13.5
12/10	Neutral	Yale	146.0	82-93	Over	+29.0
12/13	Away	Florida Atlantic	148.0	79-105	Over	+36.0
12/17	Away	Stony Brook	146.5	71-55	Under	-20.5
12/21	Home	Cornell	167.5	75-83	Under	-9.5
12/30	Away	South Carolina	148.5	67-96	Over	+14.5
01/03	Away	UMass Lowell	150.5	71-83	Over	+3.5
01/10	Home	Bryant	136.5	71-46	Under	-19.5
01/15	Home	Binghamton	138.5	69-53	Under	-16.5
01/19	Home	Vermont	139.5	75-68	Over	+3.5
01/22	Away	Maine	132.0	49-52	Under	-31.0
01/24	Away	New Hampshire	137.5	72-80	Over	+14.5
01/29	Home	NJIT	140.5	68-77	Over	+4.5
01/31	Home	UMBC	141.0	65-68	Under	-8.0
02/05	Away	Bryant	133.5	65-63	Under	-5.5
02/07	Home	UMass Lowell	143.5	79-89	Over	+24.5
02/14	Away	Binghamton	136.5	77-74	Over	+14.5
02/19	Away	NJIT	142.0	81-63	Over	+2.0
02/21	Away	UMBC	144.5	62-66	Under	-16.5
02/26	Home	Maine	130.5	59-70	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	New Hampshire	138.5	84-61	Over	+6.5
03/03	Away	Vermont	136.5	56-69	Under	-11.5
03/07	Away	UMass Lowell	146.5	76-81	Over	+10.5

UMBC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Penn St.-York	--	74-53	Under	--
11/08	Away	Dayton	154.5	71-77	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Morgan St	162.0	81-79	Under	-2.0
11/16	Home	Wagner	140.0	71-70	Over	+1.0
11/19	Away	G Washington	160.5	52-89	Under	-19.5
11/24	Home	Notre Dame (MD)	--	102-52	Under	--
11/29	Home	Delaware St	138.5	71-57	Under	-10.5
12/03	Away	Georgetown	149.5	81-90	Over	+21.5
12/06	Away	Bucknell	143.5	73-66	Under	-4.5
12/09	Home	Buffalo	145.5	79-83	Over	+16.5
12/12	Home	Army	148.0	60-63	Under	-25.0
12/21	Away	S Florida	160.0	69-94	Over	+3.0
12/29	Away	Coppin St	148.5	93-59	Over	+3.5
01/08	Home	Maine	134.0	69-62	Under	-3.0
01/10	Home	New Hampshire	144.5	75-74	Over	+4.5
01/15	Away	Bryant	135.5	74-79	Over	+17.5
01/19	Away	Binghamton	140.5	78-60	Under	-2.5
01/22	Home	NJIT	143.5	87-74	Over	+17.5
01/24	Home	UMass Lowell	151.5	79-56	Under	-16.5
01/29	Away	Vermont	142.0	55-64	Under	-23.0
01/31	Away	Albany	141.0	68-65	Under	-8.0
02/05	Home	Binghamton	138.0	79-62	Over	+3.0
02/12	Away	Maine	135.0	78-62	Over	+5.0
02/14	Away	New Hampshire	145.0	85-63	Over	+3.0
02/19	Home	Vermont	142.0	75-62	Under	-5.0
02/21	Home	Albany	144.5	66-62	Under	-16.5
02/26	Home	Bryant	138.5	70-58	Under	-10.5
02/28	Away	UMass Lowell	150.5	84-60	Under	-6.5
03/03	Away	NJIT	143.5	91-52	Under	-0.5
03/07	Home	New Hampshire	141.5	84-69	Over	+11.5
03/10	Home	UMass Lowell	147.5	91-69	Over	+12.5
03/14	Home	Vermont	134.5	74-59	Under	-1.5
03/17	Neutral	Howard	144.5	83-86	Over	+24.5