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Southern Miss vs. Troy: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Mar 8, 2026 6:00 pm - Pensacola, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Troy by 5.5, Total Points: 143.5

Matchup Menu: USM vs. TROY

More Games From Mar 8, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Troy -5.5 Official TR Pick Troy 52% odds to cover
Troy -5.5 Similar Games Troy 52% odds to cover
Troy -5.5 Decision Tree Troy 52% odds to cover
Southern Miss +5.5 Power Rating Model Southern Miss 68% odds to cover
Southern Miss +5.5 Predictive Ratings Southern Miss 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USM adv TROY
Season 16-16-0 17-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-10-0 11-9-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 8-2-0 4-6-0
Home 5-6-0 7-4-0
Away 11-10-0 10-11-0

Southern Miss Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Buffalo +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/06 Home Tougaloo -- W by 36 --
11/09 Away South Carolina +17.0 L by 4 +13.0
11/13 Away Grambling +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
11/18 Home William Carey -- W by 23 --
11/22 Neutral N Florida -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/23 Neutral UT Martin -- W by 10 --
12/03 Away Radford +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
12/06 Away Miami +19.0 L by 24 -5.0
12/08 Home Grambling -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
12/13 Neutral Mississippi +13.0 L by 4 +9.0
12/18 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/20 Home Arkansas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/29 Away LSU +21.5 L by 28 -6.5
01/01 Away UL Monroe -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
01/03 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
01/08 Home Texas St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/10 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
01/14 Away Troy +9.0 L by 26 -17.0
01/17 Away Texas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/22 Away Georgia St +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Coastal Car +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
01/29 Home App State +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/31 Home J Madison +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/04 Away Marshall +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/07 Home Kent St +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/12 Home S Alabama -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/14 Home Troy +5.0 W by 4 +9.0
02/21 Home Old Dominion -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
02/24 Away Arkansas St +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
02/27 Away S Alabama +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/05 Neutral J Madison +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/06 Neutral Texas St +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
03/07 Neutral App State +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/08 Neutral Troy +5.5 L by 8 -2.5

Troy Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Kent St +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
11/07 Away Furman +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
11/11 Home Pensacola Christian College -- W by 65 --
11/14 Away Loyola Mymt +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
11/16 Away CS Northridge -4.0 L by 9 -13.0
11/18 Away San Diego St +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
11/20 Away USC +17.5 L by 1 +16.5
11/24 Neutral Toledo -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
11/26 Neutral St Francis PA -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
12/01 Home W Georgia -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
12/06 Home La Grange -- W by 54 --
12/14 Away UAB +5.5 W by 1 +6.5
12/20 Home Marshall -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
12/31 Home Texas St -8.5 W by 20 +11.5
01/03 Home S Alabama -9.5 W by 10 +0.5
01/07 Away Arkansas St +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
01/10 Away Louisiana -9.5 W by 20 +10.5
01/14 Home Southern Miss -9.0 W by 26 +17.0
01/17 Home Arkansas St -3.5 W by 25 +21.5
01/21 Away Old Dominion -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
01/24 Away Georgia So -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/29 Home J Madison -9.5 L by 9 -18.5
01/31 Home App State -8.5 L by 22 -30.5
02/04 Away Georgia St -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
02/07 Home Akron +3.5 W by 10 +13.5
02/11 Away Texas St -5.0 L by 12 -17.0
02/14 Away Southern Miss -5.0 L by 4 -9.0
02/18 Away UL Monroe -16.0 W by 1 -15.0
02/21 Away S Alabama -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
02/24 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 19 +7.5
02/27 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/08 Neutral Southern Miss -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/09 Neutral Georgia So -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
03/19 Neutral Nebraska +13.5 L by 29 -15.5