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Southern Miss vs. Mississippi: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 13, 2025 3:00 pm - Biloxi, MS (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi by 13, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: USM vs. MISS

More Games From Dec 13, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 136.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Over 136.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go over
Over 136.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USM	MISS
Season	20-12-0	21-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-7-0	14-8-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	1-4-0
Last 10	7-3-0	6-4-0
Home	4-7-0	11-5-0
Away	16-5-0	10-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Miss Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Buffalo	154.0	79-85	Over	+10.0
11/06	Home	Tougaloo	--	93-57	Under	--
11/09	Away	South Carolina	147.5	79-83	Over	+14.5
11/13	Away	Grambling	147.5	70-75	Under	-2.5
11/18	Home	William Carey	--	82-59	Under	--
11/22	Neutral	N Florida	155.0	92-83	Over	+20.0
11/23	Neutral	UT Martin	150.0	70-60	Under	-20.0
12/03	Away	Radford	153.0	82-75	Over	+4.0
12/06	Away	Miami	145.5	64-88	Over	+6.5
12/08	Home	Grambling	142.5	68-60	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	Mississippi	138.5	67-71	Under	-0.5
12/18	Home	Louisiana	132.5	62-54	Under	-16.5
12/20	Home	Arkansas St	155.5	86-93	Over	+23.5
12/29	Away	LSU	154.5	62-90	Under	-2.5
01/01	Away	UL Monroe	154.5	87-73	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Louisiana	129.5	74-67	Over	+11.5
01/08	Home	Texas St	144.5	80-70	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	UL Monroe	155.5	70-60	Under	-25.5
01/14	Away	Troy	145.5	65-91	Over	+10.5
01/17	Away	Texas St	140.5	67-74	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Georgia St	144.5	62-69	Under	-13.5
01/24	Away	Coastal Car	143.5	67-85	Over	+8.5
01/29	Home	App State	134.5	63-70	Under	-1.5
01/31	Home	J Madison	143.0	73-65	Under	-5.0
02/04	Away	Marshall	147.5	77-81	Over	+10.5
02/07	Home	Kent St	150.5	66-65	Under	-19.5
02/12	Home	S Alabama	135.5	78-84	Over	+26.5
02/14	Home	Troy	144.5	69-65	Under	-10.5
02/21	Home	Old Dominion	147.5	86-81	Over	+19.5
02/24	Away	Arkansas St	158.5	84-89	Over	+14.5
02/27	Away	S Alabama	141.5	68-55	Under	-18.5
03/05	Neutral	J Madison	143.5	86-80	Over	+22.5
03/06	Neutral	Texas St	140.5	81-77	Over	+17.5
03/07	Neutral	App State	137.5	86-73	Over	+21.5
03/08	Neutral	Troy	143.5	70-78	Over	+4.5

Mississippi Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	SE Louisiana	143.5	88-58	Over	+2.5
11/07	Home	UL Monroe	150.0	86-65	Over	+1.0
11/11	Home	Memphis	151.5	83-77	Over	+8.5
11/14	Home	CS Bakersfield	141.5	82-60	Over	+0.5
11/18	Home	Austin Peay	146.0	72-65	Under	-9.0
11/25	Neutral	Iowa	140.5	69-74	Over	+2.5
11/26	Neutral	Utah	144.5	74-75	Over	+4.5
12/02	Home	Miami	145.5	66-75	Under	-4.5
12/06	Away	St John's	151.0	58-63	Under	-30.0
12/13	Neutral	Southern Miss	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
12/17	Neutral	Alabama A&M	135.0	80-66	Over	+11.0
12/21	Neutral	NC State	148.5	62-76	Under	-10.5
12/29	Home	Alcorn St	148.5	79-43	Under	-26.5
01/03	Away	Oklahoma	146.5	70-86	Over	+9.5
01/07	Home	Arkansas	152.0	87-94	Over	+29.0
01/10	Home	Missouri	143.5	76-69	Over	+1.5
01/14	Away	Georgia	158.5	97-95	Over	+33.5
01/17	Away	Mississippi St	148.0	68-67	Under	-13.0
01/20	Home	Auburn	151.5	66-78	Under	-7.5
01/24	Away	Kentucky	145.5	63-72	Under	-10.5
01/31	Away	Vanderbilt	149.5	68-71	Under	-10.5
02/03	Away	Tennessee	140.5	66-84	Over	+9.5
02/07	Away	Texas	144.5	68-79	Over	+2.5
02/11	Home	Alabama	163.0	74-93	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	Mississippi St	144.0	78-90	Over	+24.0
02/18	Away	Texas A&M	155.0	77-80	Over	+2.0
02/21	Home	Florida	151.0	75-94	Over	+18.0
02/25	Home	LSU	148.5	99-106	Over	+56.5
02/28	Away	Auburn	153.5	85-79	Over	+10.5
03/03	Home	Vanderbilt	155.5	86-89	Over	+19.5
03/07	Home	South Carolina	147.5	61-64	Under	-22.5
03/11	Neutral	Texas	147.5	76-66	Under	-5.5
03/12	Neutral	Georgia	156.5	76-72	Under	-8.5
03/13	Neutral	Alabama	166.5	80-79	Under	-7.5
03/14	Neutral	Arkansas	159.5	90-93	Over	+23.5