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Southern Miss at Louisiana: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 1:00 pm - Lafayette, LA
Odds: Southern Miss by 3.5, Total Points: 129.5

Matchup Menu: USM @ ULL

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 129.5	Official TR Pick	56% odds to go over
Over 129.5	Similar Games	50% odds to go over
Over 129.5	Decision Tree	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USM	ULL
Season	20-12-0	15-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-7-0	11-9-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 2
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	7-3-0	6-4-0
Home	4-7-0	7-8-0
Away	16-5-0	8-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Miss Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Buffalo	154.0	79-85	Over	+10.0
11/06	Home	Tougaloo	--	93-57	Under	--
11/09	Away	South Carolina	147.5	79-83	Over	+14.5
11/13	Away	Grambling	147.5	70-75	Under	-2.5
11/18	Home	William Carey	--	82-59	Under	--
11/22	Neutral	N Florida	155.0	92-83	Over	+20.0
11/23	Neutral	UT Martin	150.0	70-60	Under	-20.0
12/03	Away	Radford	153.0	82-75	Over	+4.0
12/06	Away	Miami	145.5	64-88	Over	+6.5
12/08	Home	Grambling	142.5	68-60	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	Mississippi	138.5	67-71	Under	-0.5
12/18	Home	Louisiana	132.5	62-54	Under	-16.5
12/20	Home	Arkansas St	155.5	86-93	Over	+23.5
12/29	Away	LSU	154.5	62-90	Under	-2.5
01/01	Away	UL Monroe	154.5	87-73	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Louisiana	129.5	74-67	Over	+11.5
01/08	Home	Texas St	144.5	80-70	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	UL Monroe	155.5	70-60	Under	-25.5
01/14	Away	Troy	145.5	65-91	Over	+10.5
01/17	Away	Texas St	140.5	67-74	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Georgia St	144.5	62-69	Under	-13.5
01/24	Away	Coastal Car	143.5	67-85	Over	+8.5
01/29	Home	App State	134.5	63-70	Under	-1.5
01/31	Home	J Madison	143.0	73-65	Under	-5.0
02/04	Away	Marshall	147.5	77-81	Over	+10.5
02/07	Home	Kent St	150.5	66-65	Under	-19.5
02/12	Home	S Alabama	135.5	78-84	Over	+26.5
02/14	Home	Troy	144.5	69-65	Under	-10.5
02/21	Home	Old Dominion	147.5	86-81	Over	+19.5
02/24	Away	Arkansas St	158.5	84-89	Over	+14.5
02/27	Away	S Alabama	141.5	68-55	Under	-18.5
03/05	Neutral	J Madison	143.5	86-80	Over	+22.5
03/06	Neutral	Texas St	140.5	81-77	Over	+17.5
03/07	Neutral	App State	137.5	86-73	Over	+21.5
03/08	Neutral	Troy	143.5	70-78	Over	+4.5

Louisiana Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Ball St	141.5	64-75	Under	-2.5
11/07	Home	SE Louisiana	136.5	58-52	Under	-26.5
11/11	Home	Tulane	135.5	62-66	Under	-7.5
11/14	Away	McNeese	134.5	62-88	Over	+15.5
11/18	Away	Stanford	140.5	66-93	Over	+18.5
11/21	Away	Santa Clara	140.0	43-80	Under	-17.0
11/24	Away	UC Davis	136.0	56-77	Under	-3.0
11/28	Home	Jackson St	136.5	45-51	Under	-40.5
12/03	Away	Lamar	129.5	55-65	Under	-9.5
12/06	Home	NC Wilmington	130.5	63-70	Over	+2.5
12/13	Away	Louisiana Tech	127.0	44-65	Under	-18.0
12/18	Away	Southern Miss	132.5	54-62	Under	-16.5
12/20	Away	UL Monroe	136.5	76-62	Over	+1.5
12/28	Home	Norfolk St	126.5	63-54	Under	-9.5
12/31	Home	S Alabama	128.0	58-63	Under	-7.0
01/03	Home	Southern Miss	129.5	67-74	Over	+11.5
01/08	Home	UL Monroe	139.5	85-79	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Troy	136.5	70-90	Over	+23.5
01/14	Away	Texas St	134.0	54-59	Under	-21.0
01/17	Away	S Alabama	130.5	59-56	Under	-15.5
01/22	Away	App State	123.0	58-72	Over	+7.0
01/29	Home	Georgia St	129.5	82-72	Over	+24.5
01/31	Home	Georgia So	144.0	69-60	Under	-15.0
02/04	Away	J Madison	132.0	64-61	Under	-7.0
02/07	Home	C Michigan	134.0	85-80	Over	+31.0
02/12	Home	Coastal Car	132.5	65-69	Over	+1.5
02/16	Away	Old Dominion	136.0	72-83	Over	+19.0
02/19	Home	Arkansas St	144.5	62-79	Under	-3.5
02/21	Home	Texas St	134.5	67-54	Under	-13.5
02/24	Away	Troy	134.5	59-78	Over	+2.5
02/27	Away	Arkansas St	146.5	58-81	Under	-7.5
03/03	Neutral	Georgia St	134.5	84-75	Over	+24.5
03/04	Neutral	J Madison	135.5	72-87	Over	+23.5