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Southern Miss at Georgia St: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Jan 22, 2026 7:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Georgia State by 2.5, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: USM @ GSU

More Games From Jan 22, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 144.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 144.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over
Over 144.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USM	GSU
Season	20-12-0	14-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-7-0	10-9-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 4
Last 5	4-1-0	4-1-0
Last 10	7-3-0	6-4-0
Home	4-7-0	7-5-0
Away	16-5-0	7-11-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Miss Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Buffalo	154.0	79-85	Over	+10.0
11/06	Home	Tougaloo	--	93-57	Under	--
11/09	Away	South Carolina	147.5	79-83	Over	+14.5
11/13	Away	Grambling	147.5	70-75	Under	-2.5
11/18	Home	William Carey	--	82-59	Under	--
11/22	Neutral	N Florida	155.0	92-83	Over	+20.0
11/23	Neutral	UT Martin	150.0	70-60	Under	-20.0
12/03	Away	Radford	153.0	82-75	Over	+4.0
12/06	Away	Miami	145.5	64-88	Over	+6.5
12/08	Home	Grambling	142.5	68-60	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	Mississippi	138.5	67-71	Under	-0.5
12/18	Home	Louisiana	132.5	62-54	Under	-16.5
12/20	Home	Arkansas St	155.5	86-93	Over	+23.5
12/29	Away	LSU	154.5	62-90	Under	-2.5
01/01	Away	UL Monroe	154.5	87-73	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Louisiana	129.5	74-67	Over	+11.5
01/08	Home	Texas St	144.5	80-70	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	UL Monroe	155.5	70-60	Under	-25.5
01/14	Away	Troy	145.5	65-91	Over	+10.5
01/17	Away	Texas St	140.5	67-74	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Georgia St	144.5	62-69	Under	-13.5
01/24	Away	Coastal Car	143.5	67-85	Over	+8.5
01/29	Home	App State	134.5	63-70	Under	-1.5
01/31	Home	J Madison	143.0	73-65	Under	-5.0
02/04	Away	Marshall	147.5	77-81	Over	+10.5
02/07	Home	Kent St	150.5	66-65	Under	-19.5
02/12	Home	S Alabama	135.5	78-84	Over	+26.5
02/14	Home	Troy	144.5	69-65	Under	-10.5
02/21	Home	Old Dominion	147.5	86-81	Over	+19.5
02/24	Away	Arkansas St	158.5	84-89	Over	+14.5
02/27	Away	S Alabama	141.5	68-55	Under	-18.5
03/05	Neutral	J Madison	143.5	86-80	Over	+22.5
03/06	Neutral	Texas St	140.5	81-77	Over	+17.5
03/07	Neutral	App State	137.5	86-73	Over	+21.5
03/08	Neutral	Troy	143.5	70-78	Over	+4.5

Georgia St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	E Michigan	150.0	49-71	Under	-30.0
11/07	Away	Cincinnati	151.5	64-74	Under	-13.5
11/10	Home	Presbyterian	142.0	61-63	Under	-18.0
11/13	Home	Fort Valley State	--	90-56	Under	--
11/17	Away	Arizona St	145.5	62-75	Under	-8.5
11/21	Away	S Dakota St	142.5	58-105	Over	+20.5
11/25	Neutral	Samford	147.0	63-78	Under	-6.0
11/26	Neutral	New Mexico St	136.5	58-77	Under	-1.5
12/02	Away	Mercer	155.5	67-78	Under	-10.5
12/06	Away	Kennesaw St	159.0	69-92	Over	+2.0
12/13	Home	Jacksonville St	139.5	77-73	Over	+10.5
12/18	Away	Georgia So	159.5	67-90	Under	-2.5
12/20	Away	App State	137.5	70-63	Under	-4.5
12/28	Home	Columbia College (SC)	--	110-72	Under	--
12/31	Away	Marshall	152.0	80-84	Over	+12.0
01/03	Away	Coastal Car	149.0	89-71	Over	+11.0
01/08	Home	App State	140.5	50-52	Under	-38.5
01/10	Home	Marshall	153.5	81-73	Over	+0.5
01/17	Away	UL Monroe	155.5	77-57	Under	-21.5
01/22	Home	Southern Miss	144.5	69-62	Under	-13.5
01/24	Home	Arkansas St	156.5	82-81	Over	+6.5
01/29	Away	Louisiana	129.5	72-82	Over	+24.5
01/31	Away	S Alabama	139.5	67-69	Under	-3.5
02/04	Home	Troy	144.0	63-74	Under	-7.0
02/07	Home	N Illinois	143.0	74-75	Over	+6.0
02/12	Away	J Madison	144.0	79-81	Over	+16.0
02/14	Away	Old Dominion	148.0	55-78	Under	-15.0
02/19	Home	Georgia So	154.5	66-64	Under	-24.5
02/21	Home	J Madison	142.5	65-80	Over	+2.5
02/24	Home	Coastal Car	141.5	71-76	Over	+5.5
02/27	Home	Old Dominion	149.5	73-81	Over	+4.5
03/03	Neutral	Louisiana	134.5	75-84	Over	+24.5