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Southern Miss at Miami: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 6, 2025 12:00 pm - Coral Gables, FL
Odds: Miami by 19, Total Points: 145.5

Matchup Menu: USM @ MIA

More Games From Dec 6, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami -19.5 Official TR Pick Miami 51% odds to cover
Miami -19.5 Similar Games Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami -19.5 Decision Tree Miami 51% odds to cover
Miami -19.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 58% odds to cover
Southern Miss +19.5 Power Rating Model Southern Miss 72% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USM adv MIA
Season 16-16-0 18-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-10-0 10-9-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 8-2-0 6-4-0
Home 5-6-0 7-9-1
Away 11-10-0 11-6-0

Southern Miss Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Buffalo +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/06 Home Tougaloo -- W by 36 --
11/09 Away South Carolina +17.0 L by 4 +13.0
11/13 Away Grambling +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
11/18 Home William Carey -- W by 23 --
11/22 Neutral N Florida -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/23 Neutral UT Martin -- W by 10 --
12/03 Away Radford +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
12/06 Away Miami +19.0 L by 24 -5.0
12/08 Home Grambling -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
12/13 Neutral Mississippi +13.0 L by 4 +9.0
12/18 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/20 Home Arkansas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/29 Away LSU +21.5 L by 28 -6.5
01/01 Away UL Monroe -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
01/03 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
01/08 Home Texas St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/10 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
01/14 Away Troy +9.0 L by 26 -17.0
01/17 Away Texas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/22 Away Georgia St +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Coastal Car +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
01/29 Home App State +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/31 Home J Madison +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/04 Away Marshall +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/07 Home Kent St +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/12 Home S Alabama -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/14 Home Troy +5.0 W by 4 +9.0
02/21 Home Old Dominion -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
02/24 Away Arkansas St +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
02/27 Away S Alabama +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/05 Neutral J Madison +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/06 Neutral Texas St +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
03/07 Neutral App State +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/08 Neutral Troy +5.5 L by 8 -2.5

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Jacksonville -20.0 W by 17 -3.0
11/06 Home Bethune -16.5 W by 40 +23.5
11/10 Home Stetson -34.0 W by 41 +7.0
11/16 Neutral Florida +11.0 L by 14 -3.0
11/20 Home Elon -20.0 W by 27 +7.0
11/23 Home Delaware St -- W by 56 --
11/27 Neutral BYU +7.0 L by 10 -3.0
11/28 Neutral Georgetown -5.5 W by 13 +7.5
12/02 Away Mississippi +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
12/06 Home Southern Miss -19.0 W by 24 +5.0
12/13 Home UL Monroe -36.0 W by 25 -11.0
12/16 Home Florida Intl -22.5 W by 17 -5.5
12/21 Home N Florida -37.5 W by 38 +0.5
12/30 Home Pittsburgh -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
01/07 Away Wake Forest +1.0 W by 4 +5.0
01/10 Home Georgia Tech -15.5 W by 10 -5.5
01/13 Away Notre Dame -5.0 W by 12 +7.0
01/17 Away Clemson +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
01/20 Home Florida St -11.0 L by 2 -13.0
01/24 Away Syracuse -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/28 Home Stanford -9.0 W by 9 0.0
01/31 Home California -11.5 L by 1 -12.5
02/07 Away Boston College -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
02/10 Home North Carolina +1.0 W by 9 +10.0
02/14 Away NC State +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
02/17 Home Virginia Tech -8.0 W by 1 -7.0
02/21 Away Virginia +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
02/24 Away Florida St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
02/28 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 22 +6.5
03/04 Away SMU +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
03/07 Home Louisville -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
03/12 Neutral Louisville +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Virginia +3.5 L by 22 -18.5
03/20 Neutral Missouri -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/22 Neutral Purdue +7.5 L by 10 -2.5