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Southern Miss at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Nov 3, 2025 6:30 pm - Buffalo, NY
Odds: Buffalo by 3.5, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: USM @ BUFF

More Games From Nov 3, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Southern Miss +2.5 Official TR Pick Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
Southern Miss +2.5 Power Rating Model Southern Miss 66% odds to cover
Southern Miss +2.5 Decision Tree Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
Southern Miss +2.5 Predictive Ratings Southern Miss 54% odds to cover
Buffalo -2.5 Similar Games Buffalo 59% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USM adv BUFF
Season 16-16-0 18-12-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-10-0 11-8-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 8-2-0 5-5-0
Home 5-6-0 6-7-0
Away 11-10-0 12-5-0

Southern Miss Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Buffalo +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/06 Home Tougaloo -- W by 36 --
11/09 Away South Carolina +17.0 L by 4 +13.0
11/13 Away Grambling +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
11/18 Home William Carey -- W by 23 --
11/22 Neutral N Florida -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/23 Neutral UT Martin -- W by 10 --
12/03 Away Radford +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
12/06 Away Miami +19.0 L by 24 -5.0
12/08 Home Grambling -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
12/13 Neutral Mississippi +13.0 L by 4 +9.0
12/18 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/20 Home Arkansas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/29 Away LSU +21.5 L by 28 -6.5
01/01 Away UL Monroe -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
01/03 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
01/08 Home Texas St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/10 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
01/14 Away Troy +9.0 L by 26 -17.0
01/17 Away Texas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/22 Away Georgia St +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Coastal Car +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
01/29 Home App State +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/31 Home J Madison +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/04 Away Marshall +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/07 Home Kent St +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/12 Home S Alabama -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/14 Home Troy +5.0 W by 4 +9.0
02/21 Home Old Dominion -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
02/24 Away Arkansas St +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
02/27 Away S Alabama +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/05 Neutral J Madison +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/06 Neutral Texas St +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
03/07 Neutral App State +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/08 Neutral Troy +5.5 L by 8 -2.5

Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Southern Miss -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
11/07 Home Green Bay -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
11/11 Away DePaul +18.5 W by 13 +31.5
11/15 Home RIT -- W by 16 --
11/18 Home Vermont +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
11/24 Neutral VMI -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
11/26 Neutral Bucknell -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/29 Away Canisius -9.0 W by 18 +9.0
12/06 Home St Bonaventure +6.0 L by 8 -2.0
12/09 Away UMBC -3.0 W by 4 +1.0
12/14 Away E Carolina +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
12/20 Away W Michigan -2.5 W by 17 +14.5
12/22 Home Penn St.-Behrend -- W by 29 --
12/31 Away N Illinois -6.5 W by 14 +7.5
01/03 Home Ball St -6.0 W by 13 +7.0
01/10 Away Ohio +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
01/13 Home Kent St +2.0 L by 6 -4.0
01/17 Away Miami OH +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
01/20 Home Akron +8.5 L by 19 -10.5
01/23 Home UMass +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
01/27 Away Bowling Green +8.0 W by 11 +19.0
01/31 Home Ohio -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
02/03 Home Miami OH +4.5 L by 2 +2.5
02/07 Away S Alabama +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
02/11 Away Ball St -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
02/17 Home N Illinois -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
02/21 Away UMass +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/24 Away Akron +15.5 L by 14 +1.5
02/28 Home C Michigan -5.5 L by 5 -10.5
03/03 Home E Michigan -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
03/06 Away Toledo +5.5 L by 20 -14.5
03/12 Neutral Akron +12.5 L by 3 +9.5