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California at Florida St: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Jan 28, 2026 7:00 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Florida State by 3.5, Total Points: 157.5

Matchup Menu: CAL @ FSU

More Games From Jan 28, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 157.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 157.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 157.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	CAL	FSU
Season	15-18-0	17-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	12-8-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 4
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	7-3-0
Home	8-13-0	8-9-0
Away	7-5-0	9-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

California Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	CS Bakersfield	146.5	87-60	Over	+0.5
11/06	Home	Wright St	149.0	77-67	Under	-5.0
11/10	Home	CS Fullerton	162.0	93-65	Under	-4.0
11/13	Away	Kansas St	163.5	96-99	Over	+31.5
11/18	Home	Presbyterian	144.5	67-57	Under	-20.5
11/21	Home	Sacramento St	154.5	91-67	Over	+3.5
11/25	Neutral	UCLA	143.5	80-72	Over	+8.5
12/02	Home	Utah	152.0	79-72	Under	-1.0
12/06	Home	Pacific	144.5	67-61	Under	-16.5
12/09	Home	Dominican (CA)	--	93-71	Under	--
12/13	Home	NW State	145.0	79-70	Over	+4.0
12/19	Home	Morgan St	151.5	97-50	Under	-4.5
12/21	Home	Columbia	152.5	74-56	Under	-22.5
12/30	Home	Louisville	159.0	70-90	Over	+1.0
01/02	Home	Notre Dame	138.5	72-71	Over	+4.5
01/07	Away	Virginia	148.0	60-84	Under	-4.0
01/10	Away	Virginia Tech	148.0	75-78	Over	+5.0
01/14	Home	Duke	149.0	56-71	Under	-22.0
01/17	Home	North Carolina	151.0	84-78	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Stanford	146.5	78-66	Under	-2.5
01/28	Away	Florida St	157.5	61-63	Under	-33.5
01/31	Away	Miami	149.5	86-85	Over	+21.5
02/04	Home	Georgia Tech	152.5	90-85	Over	+22.5
02/07	Home	Clemson	137.0	55-77	Under	-5.0
02/11	Away	Syracuse	148.5	100-107	Over	+58.5
02/14	Away	Boston College	141.5	86-75	Over	+19.5
02/21	Home	Stanford	149.5	72-66	Under	-11.5
02/25	Home	SMU	163.5	73-69	Under	-21.5
02/28	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	56-72	Under	-16.5
03/04	Away	Georgia Tech	155.5	76-65	Under	-14.5
03/07	Away	Wake Forest	153.5	73-80	Under	-0.5
03/11	Neutral	Florida St	154.5	89-95	Over	+29.5
03/18	Home	Illinois Chicago	150.5	91-73	Over	+13.5
03/22	Home	Saint Joseph's	153.5	75-76	Under	-2.5

Florida St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Alcorn St	157.0	108-76	Over	+27.0
11/07	Home	Alabama St	166.5	101-64	Under	-1.5
11/11	Away	Florida	180.5	76-78	Under	-26.5
11/18	Home	UT Martin	165.0	87-73	Under	-5.0
11/21	Home	Georgia So	175.5	98-72	Under	-5.5
11/25	Home	CS Bakersfield	159.5	89-59	Under	-11.5
11/28	Neutral	Texas A&M	175.0	59-95	Under	-21.0
12/02	Home	Georgia	176.5	73-107	Over	+3.5
12/06	Neutral	Houston	148.5	67-82	Over	+0.5
12/13	Neutral	UMass	165.5	95-103	Over	+32.5
12/16	Away	Dayton	163.0	69-97	Over	+3.0
12/19	Home	Miss Valley St	164.5	96-49	Under	-19.5
12/22	Home	Jacksonville	160.0	87-63	Under	-10.0
12/30	Away	North Carolina	166.5	66-79	Under	-21.5
01/03	Home	Duke	163.0	87-91	Over	+15.0
01/10	Home	NC State	160.0	69-113	Over	+22.0
01/13	Away	Syracuse	160.5	86-94	Over	+19.5
01/17	Home	Wake Forest	168.5	68-69	Under	-31.5
01/20	Away	Miami	163.5	65-63	Under	-35.5
01/24	Away	SMU	164.5	80-83	Under	-1.5
01/28	Home	California	157.5	63-61	Under	-33.5
01/31	Home	Stanford	150.5	88-80	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Notre Dame	153.0	82-79	Over	+8.0
02/10	Home	Virginia	156.0	58-61	Under	-37.0
02/14	Away	Virginia Tech	156.5	92-69	Over	+4.5
02/17	Home	Boston College	148.0	80-72	Over	+4.0
02/21	Away	Clemson	143.5	70-65	Under	-8.5
02/24	Home	Miami	153.5	73-83	Over	+2.5
02/28	Away	Georgia Tech	158.5	80-71	Under	-7.5
03/04	Away	Pittsburgh	144.5	75-74	Over	+4.5
03/07	Home	SMU	158.5	91-78	Over	+10.5
03/11	Neutral	California	154.5	95-89	Over	+29.5
03/12	Neutral	Duke	150.5	79-80	Over	+8.5