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Saint Mary's at Santa Clara: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Santa Clara, CA
Odds: Santa Clara by 1.5, Total Points: 153

Matchup Menu: SMC @ SCU

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 153.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 153.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under
Over 153.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SMC	SCU
Season	14-18-0	20-13-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	7-12-0	12-8-1
Streak	Un 4	Ov 1
Last 5	1-4-0	2-3-0
Last 10	3-7-0	6-4-0
Home	9-7-0	8-5-1
Away	5-11-0	12-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Saint Mary's Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	St Thomas	140.5	84-58	Over	+1.5
11/07	Home	Chattanooga	145.5	87-66	Over	+7.5
11/11	Home	Ohio	144.5	90-60	Over	+5.5
11/14	Home	N Texas	128.5	80-49	Over	+0.5
11/19	Home	Arkansas St	149.5	85-72	Over	+7.5
11/22	Home	UC Merced	--	96-42	Under	--
11/26	Neutral	Wichita St	139.5	70-65	Under	-4.5
11/27	Neutral	Virginia Tech	144.5	77-66	Under	-1.5
11/28	Neutral	Vanderbilt	148.5	71-96	Over	+18.5
12/07	Away	Davidson	137.5	70-61	Under	-6.5
12/14	Neutral	Boise St	139.5	67-68	Under	-4.5
12/19	Home	Florida Atlantic	145.5	88-75	Over	+17.5
12/22	Home	N Iowa	132.5	63-58	Under	-11.5
12/28	Away	Loyola Mymt	143.0	78-73	Over	+8.0
12/30	Away	Pepperdine	141.5	72-45	Under	-24.5
01/02	Home	Portland	146.5	78-57	Under	-11.5
01/04	Home	Seattle	139.5	93-76	Over	+29.5
01/10	Home	Washington St	143.5	88-82	Over	+26.5
01/13	Away	San Francisco	140.5	82-68	Over	+9.5
01/17	Away	Santa Clara	153.0	54-62	Under	-37.0
01/21	Home	Oregon St	141.5	81-51	Under	-9.5
01/24	Away	Portland	145.5	75-69	Under	-1.5
01/31	Away	Gonzaga	144.5	65-73	Under	-6.5
02/04	Home	San Diego	148.0	87-60	Under	-1.0
02/07	Home	San Francisco	142.5	79-54	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	Pepperdine	142.5	88-60	Over	+5.5
02/14	Away	Pacific	135.5	72-61	Under	-2.5
02/18	Away	Seattle	133.0	72-70	Over	+9.0
02/21	Away	Washington St	148.5	83-67	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Santa Clara	153.5	86-67	Under	-0.5
02/28	Home	Gonzaga	143.5	70-59	Under	-14.5
03/09	Neutral	Santa Clara	150.5	71-76	Under	-3.5
03/19	Neutral	Texas A&M	149.5	50-63	Under	-36.5

Santa Clara Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Humboldt State	--	83-53	Under	--
11/07	Home	McNeese	152.0	79-67	Under	-6.0
11/10	Away	Xavier	154.5	87-68	Over	+0.5
11/15	Home	Nevada	144.0	98-83	Over	+37.0
11/18	Home	Idaho St	141.5	64-55	Under	-22.5
11/21	Home	Louisiana	140.0	80-43	Under	-17.0
11/27	Neutral	Saint Louis	158.5	70-71	Under	-17.5
11/28	Neutral	Minnesota	138.5	86-75	Over	+22.5
12/03	Home	Utah Tech	144.5	90-80	Over	+25.5
12/06	Away	New Mexico	153.5	71-98	Over	+15.5
12/13	Neutral	Arizona St	154.5	79-82	Over	+6.5
12/17	Neutral	N Texas	139.5	63-60	Under	-16.5
12/20	Neutral	Loyola Chi	151.5	78-80	Over	+6.5
12/28	Away	Oregon St	149.0	102-64	Over	+17.0
12/30	Away	Portland	157.5	92-85	Over	+19.5
01/02	Home	Pepperdine	150.5	82-63	Under	-5.5
01/04	Home	San Diego	161.5	98-70	Over	+6.5
01/08	Away	Gonzaga	164.0	77-89	Over	+2.0
01/10	Home	Loyola Mymt	153.5	103-72	Over	+21.5
01/14	Home	Pacific	154.0	85-69	Push	0.0
01/17	Home	Saint Mary's	153.0	62-54	Under	-37.0
01/24	Away	San Diego	162.5	85-73	Under	-4.5
01/28	Home	San Francisco	151.0	88-73	Over	+10.0
01/31	Away	Loyola Mymt	154.0	104-73	Over	+23.0
02/04	Away	Pacific	151.0	71-56	Under	-24.0
02/07	Away	Washington St	161.0	96-92	Over	+27.0
02/11	Home	Seattle	147.0	84-72	Over	+9.0
02/14	Home	Gonzaga	158.0	86-94	Over	+22.0
02/21	Away	San Francisco	159.5	94-73	Over	+7.5
02/25	Away	Saint Mary's	153.5	67-86	Under	-0.5
02/28	Home	Oregon St	153.5	93-72	Over	+11.5
03/08	Neutral	Pacific	148.5	76-68	Under	-4.5
03/09	Neutral	Saint Mary's	150.5	76-71	Under	-3.5
03/10	Neutral	Gonzaga	157.5	68-79	Under	-10.5
03/20	Neutral	Kentucky	157.5	84-89	Over	+15.5