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Dayton vs. Virginia: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 6, 2025 12:00 pm - Charlotte, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Virginia by 4.5, Total Points: 147.5

Matchup Menu: DAY vs. UVA

More Games From Dec 6, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 145.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 145.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 145.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DAY	UVA
Season	13-24-0	17-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	5-16-0	9-12-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 6
Last 5	2-3-0	5-0-0
Last 10	2-8-0	7-3-0
Home	4-14-0	6-11-0
Away	9-10-0	11-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Dayton Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Canisius	142.0	88-48	Under	-6.0
11/08	Home	UMBC	154.5	77-71	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Cincinnati	148.5	62-74	Under	-12.5
11/15	Home	Bethune	148.5	91-82	Over	+24.5
11/19	Away	Marquette	151.5	77-71	Under	-3.5
11/22	Home	NC Central	148.5	74-55	Under	-19.5
11/27	Neutral	Georgetown	145.0	84-79	Over	+18.0
11/28	Neutral	BYU	150.5	79-83	Over	+11.5
12/02	Home	E Tennessee St	140.5	88-71	Over	+18.5
12/06	Neutral	Virginia	147.5	73-86	Over	+11.5
12/13	Home	N Florida	159.5	84-61	Under	-14.5
12/16	Home	Florida St	163.0	97-69	Over	+3.0
12/20	Home	Liberty	142.5	61-64	Under	-17.5
12/31	Home	Fordham	140.5	63-56	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	Loyola Chi	142.0	70-68	Under	-4.0
01/06	Home	G Washington	154.0	79-72	Under	-3.0
01/13	Away	Duquesne	152.5	71-65	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Loyola Chi	142.5	78-51	Under	-13.5
01/21	Away	La Salle	137.5	64-67	Under	-6.5
01/24	Away	Saint Joseph's	139.5	74-81	Over	+15.5
01/27	Home	Rhode Island	139.0	76-81	Over	+18.0
01/30	Away	Saint Louis	152.5	71-102	Over	+20.5
02/03	Home	St Bonaventure	145.0	72-70	Under	-3.0
02/06	Away	VCU	147.5	73-99	Over	+24.5
02/15	Home	Davidson	140.5	70-59	Under	-11.5
02/18	Away	George Mason	137.0	82-67	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Duquesne	148.5	78-66	Under	-4.5
02/24	Home	Saint Louis	157.5	77-62	Under	-18.5
02/27	Away	G Washington	152.5	68-66	Under	-18.5
03/03	Away	Richmond	144.5	65-60	Under	-19.5
03/06	Home	VCU	145.5	62-68	Under	-15.5
03/13	Neutral	St Bonaventure	142.5	68-63	Under	-11.5
03/14	Neutral	Saint Louis	145.5	70-69	Under	-6.5
03/15	Neutral	VCU	138.5	62-70	Under	-6.5
03/18	Away	Bradley	140.5	80-66	Over	+5.5
03/21	Away	NC Wilmington	139.5	80-61	Over	+1.5
03/25	Home	Illinois St	140.5	55-61	Under	-24.5

Virginia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Rider	147.5	87-53	Under	-7.5
11/07	Home	NC Central	153.0	81-62	Under	-10.0
11/11	Home	Hampton	148.5	91-53	Under	-4.5
11/15	Home	Marshall	155.5	104-78	Over	+26.5
11/21	Neutral	Northwestern	149.5	83-78	Over	+11.5
11/23	Neutral	Butler	155.5	73-80	Under	-2.5
11/28	Home	Queens	159.0	94-69	Over	+4.0
12/03	Away	Texas	154.5	88-69	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Dayton	147.5	86-73	Over	+11.5
12/09	Home	Maryland ES	134.5	84-60	Over	+9.5
12/20	Home	Maryland	153.5	80-72	Under	-1.5
12/22	Home	American	154.0	95-51	Under	-8.0
12/31	Away	Virginia Tech	153.5	85-95	Over	+26.5
01/03	Away	NC State	151.5	76-61	Under	-14.5
01/07	Home	California	148.0	84-60	Under	-4.0
01/10	Home	Stanford	143.5	70-55	Under	-18.5
01/13	Away	Louisville	155.0	79-70	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	SMU	153.0	72-68	Under	-13.0
01/24	Home	North Carolina	148.5	80-85	Over	+16.5
01/27	Away	Notre Dame	146.0	100-97	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Boston College	139.5	73-66	Under	-0.5
02/03	Home	Pittsburgh	142.5	67-47	Under	-28.5
02/07	Home	Syracuse	147.5	72-59	Under	-16.5
02/10	Away	Florida St	156.0	61-58	Under	-37.0
02/14	Neutral	Ohio St	146.5	70-66	Under	-10.5
02/18	Away	Georgia Tech	149.0	94-68	Over	+13.0
02/21	Home	Miami	146.5	86-83	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	NC State	152.5	90-61	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Duke	142.5	51-77	Under	-14.5
03/03	Home	Wake Forest	150.5	75-70	Under	-5.5
03/07	Home	Virginia Tech	146.5	76-72	Over	+1.5
03/12	Neutral	NC State	153.5	81-74	Over	+1.5
03/13	Neutral	Miami	145.5	84-62	Over	+0.5
03/14	Neutral	Duke	139.5	70-74	Over	+4.5
03/20	Neutral	Wright St	146.5	82-73	Over	+8.5
03/22	Neutral	Tennessee	137.5	72-79	Over	+13.5