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Liberty at New Mexico St: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 9:00 pm - Las Cruces, NM
Odds: Liberty by 3.5, Total Points: 143.5

Matchup Menu: LIB @ NMSU

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
New Mexico St +3.5 Official TR Pick New Mexico St 53% odds to cover
New Mexico St +3.5 Decision Tree New Mexico St 54% odds to cover
New Mexico St +3.5 Predictive Ratings New Mexico St 54% odds to cover
Liberty -3.5 Power Rating Model Liberty 55% odds to cover
Liberty -3.5 Similar Games Liberty 57% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record LIB adv NMSU
Season 13-18-0 14-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-13-0 10-12-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 3-7-0 5-5-0
Home 6-7-0 6-6-0
Away 7-11-0 8-9-0

Liberty Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Kentucky Christian -- W by 41 --
11/07 Home Charleston -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/09 Home Florida Atlantic -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
11/17 Home Piedmont International -- W by 52 --
11/24 Neutral Vermont -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
11/25 Neutral Towson -5.0 L by 3 -8.0
11/26 Neutral Bradley -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/06 Home Coppin St -31.0 W by 42 +11.0
12/10 Away NC State +12.5 L by 40 -27.5
12/16 Home Midway -- W by 38 --
12/20 Away Dayton +9.5 W by 3 +12.5
12/28 Away Florida Intl -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
01/02 Home Kennesaw St -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
01/04 Home Jacksonville St -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
01/08 Away Louisiana Tech -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
01/10 Away Sam Houston -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
01/15 Home New Mexico St -9.0 W by 2 -7.0
01/17 Home UTEP -13.5 W by 11 -2.5
01/21 Away W Kentucky -1.0 W by 7 +6.0
01/24 Home Delaware -15.0 W by 16 +1.0
01/29 Away Middle Tenn -1.5 W by 16 +14.5
02/04 Away Delaware -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/07 Home Missouri St -9.0 W by 3 -6.0
02/11 Away New Mexico St -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
02/14 Away UTEP -6.5 W by 9 +2.5
02/19 Home Florida Intl -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
02/21 Home W Kentucky -7.5 L by 21 -28.5
02/26 Away Kennesaw St -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
02/28 Away Jacksonville St -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
03/05 Home Louisiana Tech -8.5 L by 5 -13.5
03/07 Home Sam Houston -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
03/11 Neutral Missouri St -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
03/17 Away George Mason +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/21 Away Nevada +7.5 L by 10 -2.5

New Mexico St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Adams St. -- W by 11 --
11/11 Home New Mexico Highlands -- W by 16 --
11/15 Home New Mexico +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
11/21 Home Samford -8.5 W by 9 +0.5
11/25 Neutral UC Irvine +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
11/26 Neutral Georgia St -12.0 W by 19 +7.0
12/02 Neutral S Alabama -4.0 L by 2 -6.0
12/06 Away Abl Christian -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
12/13 Neutral Tulsa +4.0 L by 13 -9.0
12/21 Home Sam Houston -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
12/28 Home University of the Southwest -- W by 71 --
01/02 Away Florida Intl -1.5 L by 15 -16.5
01/04 Away Missouri St +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/08 Home W Kentucky -2.5 W by 16 +13.5
01/10 Home Middle Tenn -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
01/15 Away Liberty +9.0 L by 2 +7.0
01/17 Away Delaware -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
01/22 Home Missouri St -6.5 L by 9 -15.5
01/24 Home Florida Intl -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
01/28 Home Delaware -12.5 L by 9 -21.5
01/31 Away Kennesaw St +2.5 L by 23 -20.5
02/04 Away Louisiana Tech +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
02/07 Away UTEP -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/11 Home Liberty +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
02/14 Away Jacksonville St +2.0 W by 9 +11.0
02/21 Home UTEP -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/26 Away W Kentucky +4.5 L by 23 -18.5
02/28 Away Middle Tenn +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
03/05 Home Jacksonville St -6.5 W by 2 -4.5
03/07 Home Kennesaw St -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/10 Neutral Jacksonville St -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
03/11 Neutral Sam Houston +4.5 L by 8 -3.5