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Notre Dame at North Carolina: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Jan 21, 2026 7:00 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: North Carolina by 13.5, Total Points: 149

Matchup Menu: ND @ UNC

More Games From Jan 21, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
North Carolina -13.5 Official TR Pick North Carolina 52% odds to cover
North Carolina -13.5 Similar Games North Carolina 53% odds to cover
North Carolina -13.5 Decision Tree North Carolina 52% odds to cover
Notre Dame +13.5 Power Rating Model Notre Dame 81% odds to cover
Notre Dame +13.5 Predictive Ratings Notre Dame 62% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ND adv UNC
Season 15-16-0 19-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-11-0 11-8-0
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 6-4-0
Home 8-9-0 12-6-0
Away 7-7-0 7-8-0

Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home LIU -15.0 W by 22 +7.0
11/07 Home Detroit Mercy -21.0 W by 32 +11.0
11/11 Home E Illinois -23.5 W by 20 -3.5
11/16 Away Ohio St +10.0 L by 1 +9.0
11/19 Home Bellarmine -23.0 W by 7 -16.0
11/24 Neutral Kansas +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/25 Neutral Rutgers -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
11/26 Neutral Houston +11.5 L by 10 +1.5
12/02 Home Missouri +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
12/05 Away TCU +7.0 W by 2 +9.0
12/10 Home Idaho -11.5 W by 15 +3.5
12/13 Home Evansville -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
12/21 Home Purdue FW -11.5 L by 3 -14.5
12/30 Away Stanford +6.5 W by 7 +13.5
01/02 Away California +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/10 Home Clemson +3.0 L by 15 -12.0
01/13 Home Miami +5.0 L by 12 -7.0
01/17 Away Virginia Tech +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
01/21 Away North Carolina +13.5 L by 22 -8.5
01/24 Home Boston College -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
01/27 Home Virginia +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
01/31 Away Syracuse +5.0 L by 14 -9.0
02/04 Away Louisville +18.0 L by 11 +7.0
02/07 Home Florida St -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/10 Away SMU +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
02/14 Home Georgia Tech -6.0 W by 15 +9.0
02/21 Away Pittsburgh +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
02/24 Home Duke +16.5 L by 44 -27.5
02/28 Home NC State +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
03/04 Home Stanford +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
03/07 Away Boston College -1.5 L by 8 -9.5

North Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home C Arkansas -31.0 W by 40 +9.0
11/07 Home Kansas -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
11/11 Home Radford -20.0 W by 15 -5.0
11/14 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 44 +10.0
11/18 Home Navy -26.5 W by 12 -14.5
11/25 Neutral St Bonaventure -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
11/27 Neutral Michigan St +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
12/02 Away Kentucky +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
12/07 Home Georgetown -10.5 W by 20 +9.5
12/13 Home SC Upstate -29.5 W by 18 -11.5
12/16 Home E Tennessee St -17.5 W by 19 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Ohio St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
12/22 Home E Carolina -25.5 W by 48 +22.5
12/30 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 13 +1.0
01/03 Away SMU +1.0 L by 14 -13.0
01/10 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 3 -7.0
01/14 Away Stanford -4.0 L by 5 -9.0
01/17 Away California -7.5 L by 6 -13.5
01/21 Home Notre Dame -13.5 W by 22 +8.5
01/24 Away Virginia +6.5 W by 5 +11.5
01/31 Away Georgia Tech -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
02/02 Home Syracuse -11.5 W by 10 -1.5
02/07 Home Duke +6.0 W by 3 +9.0
02/10 Away Miami -1.0 L by 9 -10.0
02/14 Home Pittsburgh -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
02/17 Away NC State +8.0 L by 24 -16.0
02/21 Away Syracuse +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
02/23 Home Louisville +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/28 Home Virginia Tech -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/03 Home Clemson -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/07 Away Duke +18.5 L by 15 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Clemson +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
03/19 Neutral VCU -2.5 L by 4 -6.5