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Notre Dame at Pittsburgh: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 2:00 pm - Pittsburgh, PA
Odds: Pittsburgh by 2, Total Points: 138

Matchup Menu: ND @ PITT

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 138.0	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 138.0	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under
Over 138.0	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ND	PITT
Season	22-9-0	17-15-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-3-0	11-8-1
Streak	Ov 8	Ov 1
Last 5	5-0-0	2-3-0
Last 10	9-1-0	5-5-0
Home	14-3-0	13-5-0
Away	8-6-0	4-10-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Notre Dame Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	LIU	137.0	89-67	Over	+19.0
11/07	Home	Detroit Mercy	148.0	102-70	Over	+24.0
11/11	Home	E Illinois	143.5	78-58	Under	-7.5
11/16	Away	Ohio St	156.5	63-64	Under	-29.5
11/19	Home	Bellarmine	151.5	86-79	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	Kansas	142.5	61-71	Under	-10.5
11/25	Neutral	Rutgers	140.5	68-63	Under	-9.5
11/26	Neutral	Houston	133.0	56-66	Under	-11.0
12/02	Home	Missouri	146.5	76-71	Over	+0.5
12/05	Away	TCU	141.5	87-85	Over	+30.5
12/10	Home	Idaho	144.5	80-65	Over	+0.5
12/13	Home	Evansville	136.5	82-58	Over	+3.5
12/21	Home	Purdue FW	149.0	69-72	Under	-8.0
12/30	Away	Stanford	144.0	47-40	Under	-57.0
01/02	Away	California	138.5	71-72	Over	+4.5
01/10	Home	Clemson	133.5	61-76	Over	+3.5
01/13	Home	Miami	143.0	69-81	Over	+7.0
01/17	Away	Virginia Tech	143.0	76-89	Over	+22.0
01/21	Away	North Carolina	149.0	69-91	Over	+11.0
01/24	Home	Boston College	136.5	68-64	Under	-4.5
01/27	Home	Virginia	146.0	97-100	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Syracuse	147.5	72-86	Over	+10.5
02/04	Away	Louisville	156.5	65-76	Under	-15.5
02/07	Home	Florida St	153.0	79-82	Over	+8.0
02/10	Away	SMU	154.0	81-89	Over	+16.0
02/14	Home	Georgia Tech	150.0	89-74	Over	+13.0
02/21	Away	Pittsburgh	138.0	68-73	Over	+3.0
02/24	Home	Duke	142.5	56-100	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	NC State	154.5	96-90	Over	+31.5
03/04	Home	Stanford	147.5	78-86	Over	+16.5
03/07	Away	Boston College	141.5	69-77	Over	+4.5

Pittsburgh Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Youngstown St	145.5	74-59	Under	-12.5
11/07	Home	Longwood	146.5	78-60	Under	-8.5
11/10	Home	E Michigan	141.0	78-66	Over	+3.0
11/13	Away	West Virginia	134.0	49-71	Under	-14.0
11/17	Home	Bucknell	142.0	84-50	Under	-8.0
11/20	Neutral	UCF	149.5	67-77	Under	-5.5
11/23	Home	Quinnipiac	142.5	75-83	Over	+15.5
11/28	Home	Ohio St	148.5	67-66	Under	-15.5
12/02	Home	Texas A&M	152.5	73-81	Over	+1.5
12/07	Home	Hofstra	134.0	73-80	Over	+19.0
12/13	Away	Villanova	138.0	61-79	Over	+2.0
12/17	Home	Binghamton	135.0	103-63	Over	+31.0
12/21	Neutral	Penn St	146.5	80-46	Under	-20.5
12/30	Away	Miami	145.0	69-76	Push	0.0
01/03	Home	Clemson	135.5	68-73	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	Syracuse	141.5	72-83	Over	+13.5
01/14	Away	Georgia Tech	146.0	89-66	Over	+9.0
01/17	Home	Louisville	152.5	59-100	Over	+6.5
01/21	Away	Boston College	136.5	62-65	Under	-9.5
01/24	Home	NC State	146.0	72-81	Over	+7.0
01/27	Home	Wake Forest	152.0	80-76	Over	+4.0
01/31	Away	Clemson	134.5	52-63	Under	-19.5
02/03	Away	Virginia	142.5	47-67	Under	-28.5
02/07	Home	SMU	147.5	67-86	Over	+5.5
02/10	Home	Duke	136.5	54-70	Under	-12.5
02/14	Away	North Carolina	144.5	65-79	Under	-0.5
02/21	Home	Notre Dame	138.0	73-68	Over	+3.0
02/25	Away	Stanford	138.5	67-75	Over	+3.5
02/28	Away	California	144.5	72-56	Under	-16.5
03/04	Home	Florida St	144.5	74-75	Over	+4.5
03/07	Away	Syracuse	141.5	71-69	Under	-1.5
03/10	Neutral	Stanford	136.5	64-63	Under	-9.5
03/11	Neutral	NC State	144.5	88-98	Over	+41.5