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Notre Dame at SMU: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Feb 10, 2026 7:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: SMU by 10.5, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: ND @ SMU

More Games From Feb 10, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 154.0	Official TR Pick	57% odds to go under
Under 154.0	Decision Tree	57% odds to go under
Over 154.0	Similar Games	57% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ND	SMU
Season	22-9-0	21-12-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-3-0	12-7-1
Streak	Ov 8	Ov 1
Last 5	5-0-0	3-2-0
Last 10	9-1-0	6-3-1
Home	14-3-0	10-8-0
Away	8-6-0	11-4-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Notre Dame Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	LIU	137.0	89-67	Over	+19.0
11/07	Home	Detroit Mercy	148.0	102-70	Over	+24.0
11/11	Home	E Illinois	143.5	78-58	Under	-7.5
11/16	Away	Ohio St	156.5	63-64	Under	-29.5
11/19	Home	Bellarmine	151.5	86-79	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	Kansas	142.5	61-71	Under	-10.5
11/25	Neutral	Rutgers	140.5	68-63	Under	-9.5
11/26	Neutral	Houston	133.0	56-66	Under	-11.0
12/02	Home	Missouri	146.5	76-71	Over	+0.5
12/05	Away	TCU	141.5	87-85	Over	+30.5
12/10	Home	Idaho	144.5	80-65	Over	+0.5
12/13	Home	Evansville	136.5	82-58	Over	+3.5
12/21	Home	Purdue FW	149.0	69-72	Under	-8.0
12/30	Away	Stanford	144.0	47-40	Under	-57.0
01/02	Away	California	138.5	71-72	Over	+4.5
01/10	Home	Clemson	133.5	61-76	Over	+3.5
01/13	Home	Miami	143.0	69-81	Over	+7.0
01/17	Away	Virginia Tech	143.0	76-89	Over	+22.0
01/21	Away	North Carolina	149.0	69-91	Over	+11.0
01/24	Home	Boston College	136.5	68-64	Under	-4.5
01/27	Home	Virginia	146.0	97-100	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Syracuse	147.5	72-86	Over	+10.5
02/04	Away	Louisville	156.5	65-76	Under	-15.5
02/07	Home	Florida St	153.0	79-82	Over	+8.0
02/10	Away	SMU	154.0	81-89	Over	+16.0
02/14	Home	Georgia Tech	150.0	89-74	Over	+13.0
02/21	Away	Pittsburgh	138.0	68-73	Over	+3.0
02/24	Home	Duke	142.5	56-100	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	NC State	154.5	96-90	Over	+31.5
03/04	Home	Stanford	147.5	78-86	Over	+16.5
03/07	Away	Boston College	141.5	69-77	Over	+4.5

SMU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Tarleton St	145.0	96-76	Over	+27.0
11/06	Home	Texas A&M-CC	160.5	69-58	Under	-33.5
11/11	Home	Murray St	164.5	102-91	Over	+28.5
11/15	Home	Butler	164.0	87-85	Over	+8.0
11/18	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	168.5	106-60	Under	-2.5
11/21	Home	Arkansas St	172.5	100-69	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Radford	165.5	89-72	Under	-4.5
11/28	Away	Mississippi St	162.5	87-81	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Vanderbilt	165.5	69-88	Under	-8.5
12/07	Neutral	Texas A&M	164.0	93-80	Over	+9.0
12/13	Neutral	LSU	158.5	77-89	Over	+7.5
12/21	Home	C Arkansas	157.0	99-82	Over	+24.0
12/28	Home	CS Fullerton	170.5	110-63	Over	+2.5
01/03	Home	North Carolina	155.5	97-83	Over	+24.5
01/07	Away	Clemson	149.5	70-74	Under	-5.5
01/10	Away	Duke	156.0	75-82	Over	+1.0
01/14	Home	Virginia Tech	156.5	77-76	Under	-3.5
01/17	Home	Virginia	153.0	68-72	Under	-13.0
01/20	Away	Wake Forest	157.5	91-79	Over	+12.5
01/24	Home	Florida St	164.5	83-80	Under	-1.5
01/31	Away	Louisville	161.5	74-88	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	NC State	159.5	83-84	Over	+7.5
02/07	Away	Pittsburgh	147.5	86-67	Over	+5.5
02/10	Home	Notre Dame	154.0	89-81	Over	+16.0
02/14	Away	Syracuse	157.0	78-79	Push	0.0
02/17	Home	Louisville	168.0	95-85	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Boston College	150.5	94-70	Over	+13.5
02/25	Away	California	163.5	69-73	Under	-21.5
02/28	Away	Stanford	155.5	75-95	Over	+14.5
03/04	Home	Miami	156.5	69-77	Under	-10.5
03/07	Away	Florida St	158.5	78-91	Over	+10.5
03/10	Neutral	Syracuse	154.5	86-69	Over	+0.5
03/11	Neutral	Louisville	164.5	58-62	Under	-44.5
03/18	Neutral	Miami OH	161.5	79-89	Over	+6.5