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Illinois at Penn St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 7:00 pm - University Park, PA
Odds: Illinois by 14.5, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: ILL @ PSU

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 156.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 156.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go under
Under 156.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ILL	PSU
Season	15-21-0	18-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-10-0	13-8-0
Streak	Un 4	Un 2
Last 5	1-4-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	5-5-0
Home	6-10-0	9-8-0
Away	9-11-0	9-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Illinois Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Jackson St	156.5	113-55	Over	+11.5
11/07	Home	FGCU	160.5	113-70	Over	+22.5
11/11	Home	Texas Tech	169.0	81-77	Under	-11.0
11/14	Home	Colgate	164.5	84-65	Under	-15.5
11/19	Neutral	Alabama	181.5	86-90	Under	-5.5
11/22	Home	LIU	162.5	98-58	Under	-6.5
11/24	Home	UT Rio Grande	164.5	87-73	Under	-4.5
11/28	Neutral	UConn	150.5	61-74	Under	-15.5
12/06	Neutral	Tennessee	149.5	75-62	Under	-12.5
12/09	Away	Ohio St	163.0	88-80	Over	+5.0
12/13	Home	Nebraska	156.5	80-83	Over	+6.5
12/22	Neutral	Missouri	152.0	91-48	Under	-13.0
12/29	Home	Southern	163.5	90-55	Under	-18.5
01/03	Away	Penn St	156.5	73-65	Under	-18.5
01/08	Home	Rutgers	149.0	81-55	Under	-13.0
01/11	Away	Iowa	141.0	75-69	Over	+3.0
01/14	Away	Northwestern	152.5	79-68	Under	-5.5
01/17	Home	Minnesota	142.5	77-67	Over	+1.5
01/21	Home	Maryland	148.5	89-70	Over	+10.5
01/24	Away	Purdue	154.5	88-82	Over	+15.5
01/29	Home	Washington	153.0	75-66	Under	-12.0
02/01	Away	Nebraska	153.5	78-69	Under	-6.5
02/04	Home	Northwestern	150.0	84-44	Under	-22.0
02/07	Away	Michigan St	143.5	82-85	Over	+23.5
02/10	Home	Wisconsin	154.0	90-92	Over	+28.0
02/15	Home	Indiana	153.5	71-51	Under	-31.5
02/18	Away	USC	149.5	101-65	Over	+16.5
02/21	Away	UCLA	146.5	94-95	Over	+42.5
02/27	Home	Michigan	159.5	70-84	Under	-5.5
03/03	Home	Oregon	147.5	80-54	Under	-13.5
03/08	Away	Maryland	145.5	78-72	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Wisconsin	158.5	88-91	Over	+20.5
03/19	Neutral	Penn	150.5	105-70	Over	+24.5
03/21	Neutral	VCU	150.5	76-55	Under	-19.5
03/26	Neutral	Houston	141.5	65-55	Under	-21.5
03/28	Neutral	Iowa	138.5	71-59	Under	-8.5
04/04	Neutral	UConn	139.5	62-71	Under	-6.5

Penn St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Fairfield	150.5	76-68	Under	-6.5
11/08	Away	New Haven	143.5	87-43	Under	-13.5
11/11	Home	Navy	154.5	80-71	Under	-3.5
11/15	Neutral	La Salle	145.5	83-69	Over	+6.5
11/19	Home	Harvard	142.5	84-80	Over	+21.5
11/22	Neutral	Providence	165.5	65-77	Under	-23.5
11/25	Home	Boston U	142.5	96-87	Over	+40.5
11/29	Home	Sacred Heart	160.5	90-59	Under	-11.5
12/02	Home	Campbell	154.5	87-76	Over	+8.5
12/09	Away	Indiana	152.5	72-113	Over	+32.5
12/13	Home	Michigan St	145.0	72-76	Over	+3.0
12/21	Neutral	Pittsburgh	146.5	46-80	Under	-20.5
12/29	Home	NC Central	150.5	90-67	Over	+6.5
01/03	Home	Illinois	156.5	65-73	Under	-18.5
01/06	Home	Michigan	168.5	72-74	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Purdue	152.5	85-93	Over	+25.5
01/14	Home	UCLA	148.5	60-71	Under	-17.5
01/18	Away	Maryland	148.0	73-96	Over	+21.0
01/22	Home	Wisconsin	160.0	71-98	Over	+9.0
01/26	Away	Ohio St	153.5	78-84	Over	+8.5
01/29	Away	Northwestern	147.5	73-94	Over	+19.5
02/01	Home	Minnesota	142.5	77-75	Over	+9.5
02/05	Away	Michigan	162.5	69-110	Over	+16.5
02/08	Home	USC	156.5	75-77	Under	-4.5
02/11	Away	Washington	154.0	63-60	Under	-31.0
02/14	Away	Oregon	147.0	72-83	Over	+8.0
02/18	Home	Rutgers	149.0	72-85	Over	+8.0
02/21	Away	Nebraska	148.5	64-87	Over	+2.5
02/28	Home	Iowa	143.5	71-69	Under	-3.5
03/04	Home	Ohio St	152.5	62-94	Over	+3.5
03/08	Away	Rutgers	150.5	62-74	Under	-14.5
03/10	Neutral	Northwestern	143.5	66-76	Under	-1.5