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Air Force vs. Nevada: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Mar 11, 2026 5:30 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Odds: Nevada by 19.5, Total Points: 140.5

Matchup Menu: AFA vs. NEV

More Games From Mar 11, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 140.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 140.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under
Over 140.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	AFA	NEV
Season	19-13-0	21-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-6-0	13-10-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	7-3-0	5-5-0
Home	13-5-0	10-9-0
Away	6-8-0	11-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Air Force Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Belmont	144.0	63-79	Under	-2.0
11/08	Home	Austin Peay	137.0	54-74	Under	-9.0
11/11	Home	LIU	138.5	72-76	Over	+9.5
11/15	Home	Miami OH	143.5	61-76	Under	-6.5
11/19	Home	Alabama St	138.5	66-64	Under	-8.5
11/21	Home	SIU Edward	129.5	77-63	Over	+10.5
11/23	Home	IU Indy	182.0	98-85	Over	+1.0
11/26	Home	N Colorado	146.5	53-71	Under	-22.5
11/29	Neutral	South Dakota	146.5	63-80	Under	-3.5
12/03	Home	Pacific	134.5	65-80	Over	+10.5
12/07	Away	Navy	133.5	56-61	Under	-16.5
12/17	Away	San Diego St	135.5	58-81	Over	+3.5
12/30	Home	Wyoming	143.0	56-68	Under	-19.0
01/03	Away	UNLV	142.0	39-67	Under	-36.0
01/06	Home	Utah St	139.5	62-99	Over	+21.5
01/10	Home	New Mexico	138.0	49-91	Over	+2.0
01/13	Away	San Jose St	128.5	62-70	Over	+3.5
01/17	Home	Nevada	134.5	66-81	Over	+12.5
01/20	Away	Colorado St	133.5	52-81	Under	-0.5
01/24	Away	Boise St	134.5	54-96	Over	+15.5
01/31	Home	Fresno St	138.5	62-79	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Grand Canyon	137.5	57-81	Over	+0.5
02/07	Home	San Diego St	139.0	54-88	Over	+3.0
02/10	Home	Colorado St	137.0	74-91	Over	+28.0
02/14	Away	Fresno St	142.5	63-93	Over	+13.5
02/17	Away	New Mexico	149.0	61-98	Over	+10.0
02/21	Home	UNLV	152.5	66-91	Over	+4.5
02/24	Home	San Jose St	145.5	80-86	Over	+20.5
02/28	Away	Wyoming	146.5	62-66	Under	-18.5
03/03	Home	Grand Canyon	143.5	60-86	Over	+2.5
03/07	Away	Nevada	144.5	59-74	Under	-11.5
03/11	Neutral	Nevada	140.5	45-80	Under	-15.5

Nevada Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Louisiana Tech	137.5	77-50	Under	-10.5
11/08	Home	Pacific	140.0	78-77	Over	+15.0
11/12	Home	S Illinois	151.5	86-81	Over	+15.5
11/15	Away	Santa Clara	144.0	83-98	Over	+37.0
11/18	Home	UC Davis	145.5	71-75	Over	+0.5
11/22	Home	UCSB	148.5	77-64	Under	-7.5
11/27	Neutral	Washington	145.5	66-83	Over	+3.5
11/28	Neutral	San Francisco	142.5	81-65	Over	+3.5
12/02	Home	UCSD	149.0	76-70	Under	-3.0
12/07	Away	Washington St	145.0	78-64	Under	-3.0
12/13	Home	Duquesne	152.0	78-75	Over	+1.0
12/20	Home	Boise St	141.5	81-66	Over	+5.5
12/30	Away	Colorado St	139.5	75-62	Under	-2.5
01/03	Away	Fresno St	146.5	66-65	Under	-15.5
01/06	Home	San Diego St	141.5	68-73	Under	-0.5
01/10	Home	Wyoming	143.0	92-83	Over	+32.0
01/14	Away	Utah St	147.5	62-71	Under	-14.5
01/17	Away	Air Force	134.5	81-66	Over	+12.5
01/20	Home	San Jose St	138.0	87-54	Over	+3.0
01/24	Away	New Mexico	149.5	73-80	Over	+3.5
01/27	Home	Grand Canyon	143.5	66-60	Under	-17.5
01/30	Home	UNLV	145.5	89-76	Over	+19.5
02/03	Away	Boise St	141.5	87-91	Over	+36.5
02/07	Home	Fresno St	150.0	69-59	Under	-22.0
02/14	Away	San Diego St	140.0	57-71	Under	-12.0
02/17	Away	San Jose St	141.5	71-87	Over	+16.5
02/21	Home	Utah St	146.5	80-77	Over	+10.5
02/24	Home	New Mexico	148.5	67-60	Under	-21.5
02/28	Away	UNLV	150.5	83-85	Over	+17.5
03/03	Away	Wyoming	143.5	73-83	Over	+12.5
03/07	Home	Air Force	144.5	74-59	Under	-11.5
03/11	Neutral	Air Force	140.5	80-45	Under	-15.5
03/12	Neutral	Grand Canyon	137.5	84-80	Over	+26.5
03/13	Neutral	Utah St	144.5	66-79	Over	+0.5
03/18	Home	Murray St	159.5	89-75	Over	+4.5
03/21	Home	Liberty	146.5	73-63	Under	-10.5
03/25	Away	Auburn	153.5	69-75	Under	-9.5