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Bowling Green at Arkansas St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 3:00 pm - Jonesboro, AR
Odds: Arkansas State by 2.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: BGSU @ ARST

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 154.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 154.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over
Over 154.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BGSU	ARST
Season	11-18-0	15-14-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	10-8-1
Streak	Ov 2	Un 2
Last 5	4-1-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	5-9-0	5-7-1
Away	6-9-0	10-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Bowling Green Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Texas St	146.0	83-48	Under	-15.0
11/06	Home	Bethany (WV)	--	120-65	Under	--
11/09	Home	Le Moyne	154.5	83-60	Under	-11.5
11/15	Away	Davidson	144.5	87-91	Over	+33.5
11/19	Home	William & Mary	167.0	74-82	Under	-11.0
11/24	Neutral	Bucknell	143.5	71-66	Under	-6.5
11/26	Neutral	VMI	149.0	81-48	Under	-20.0
12/01	Away	Kansas St	159.0	82-66	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Utah Valley	145.0	71-82	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	Aquinas	--	131-50	Under	--
12/16	Home	Chicago St	148.0	76-55	Under	-17.0
12/20	Away	Ohio	154.0	68-58	Under	-28.0
12/22	Home	Siena Heights	--	125-66	Under	--
12/30	Home	Miami OH	150.5	83-93	Over	+25.5
01/03	Away	UMass	152.0	101-100	Over	+49.0
01/06	Away	Kent St	155.5	93-96	Over	+33.5
01/09	Home	Akron	163.0	67-77	Under	-19.0
01/17	Home	E Michigan	141.5	85-79	Over	+22.5
01/20	Away	W Michigan	152.5	72-54	Under	-26.5
01/24	Away	Toledo	156.5	72-73	Under	-11.5
01/27	Home	Buffalo	150.0	78-89	Over	+17.0
01/31	Away	C Michigan	149.5	59-62	Under	-28.5
02/03	Home	Ball St	139.5	77-52	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Arkansas St	154.5	54-91	Under	-9.5
02/11	Away	N Illinois	144.5	68-52	Under	-24.5
02/14	Home	Toledo	151.0	80-70	Under	-1.0
02/17	Home	Kent St	151.5	71-78	Under	-2.5
02/20	Away	Miami OH	154.0	77-91	Over	+14.0
02/24	Home	W Michigan	149.5	79-88	Over	+17.5
02/28	Home	UMass	150.5	81-62	Under	-7.5
03/06	Away	E Michigan	142.5	77-69	Over	+3.5
03/12	Neutral	Toledo	150.5	76-77	Over	+2.5

Arkansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Ohio	158.5	89-85	Over	+15.5
11/07	Away	SF Austin	155.5	65-90	Under	-0.5
11/11	Away	Missouri St	152.0	86-85	Over	+19.0
11/15	Home	Christian Brothers	--	95-67	Under	--
11/19	Away	Saint Mary's	149.5	72-85	Over	+7.5
11/21	Away	SMU	172.5	69-100	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Jacksonville St	156.0	74-63	Under	-19.0
11/28	Home	N Dakota St	160.5	85-80	Over	+4.5
12/02	Home	UT Arlington	151.5	83-63	Under	-5.5
12/06	Away	Little Rock	147.5	90-78	Over	+20.5
12/13	Away	Rice	156.5	76-77	Under	-3.5
12/17	Away	Texas St	151.5	89-70	Over	+7.5
12/20	Away	Southern Miss	155.5	93-86	Over	+23.5
12/30	Home	Arkansas Tech	--	107-63	Under	--
01/03	Home	J Madison	159.0	74-78	Under	-7.0
01/07	Home	Troy	160.0	86-74	Push	0.0
01/10	Home	Texas St	156.0	83-82	Over	+9.0
01/15	Away	S Alabama	154.0	87-91	Over	+24.0
01/17	Away	Troy	166.0	74-99	Over	+7.0
01/22	Away	Georgia So	175.0	85-68	Under	-22.0
01/24	Away	Georgia St	156.5	81-82	Over	+6.5
01/28	Home	Old Dominion	159.5	71-75	Under	-13.5
01/31	Home	Marshall	165.5	61-70	Under	-34.5
02/04	Away	Coastal Car	152.0	70-66	Under	-16.0
02/07	Home	Bowling Green	154.5	91-54	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	UL Monroe	162.5	103-70	Over	+10.5
02/14	Home	S Alabama	149.5	88-92	Over	+30.5
02/19	Away	Louisiana	144.5	79-62	Under	-3.5
02/21	Away	UL Monroe	166.5	102-94	Over	+29.5
02/24	Home	Southern Miss	158.5	89-84	Over	+14.5
02/27	Home	Louisiana	146.5	81-58	Under	-7.5
03/05	Neutral	Georgia So	165.5	77-80	Under	-8.5