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Morehead St at W Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Saturday Feb 21, 2026 4:30 pm -
Macomb, IL
Odds:
Morehead State by 8.5,
Total Points:
143.5
Matchup Menu: MORE @ WIU
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Morehead St -8.5 | Official TR Pick | Morehead St 51% odds to cover |
| Morehead St -8.5 | Similar Games | Morehead St 52% odds to cover |
| Morehead St -8.5 | Decision Tree | Morehead St 52% odds to cover |
| W Illinois +8.5 | Power Rating Model | W Illinois 56% odds to cover |
| W Illinois +8.5 | Predictive Ratings | W Illinois 56% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MORE | adv | WIU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-13-0 | 11-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-7-0 | 7-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 6-4-0 | 3-9-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 8-8-0 |
Morehead St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Midway | -- | W by 5 | -- |
| 11/07 | Away | Wake Forest | +22.5 | L by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | Georgia | +29.0 | L by 39 | -10.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Clemson | +29.5 | L by 27 | +2.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Kentucky Christian | -- | W by 70 | -- |
| 11/21 | Away | E Tennessee St | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UL Monroe | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | IU Indy | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Murray St | +16.5 | L by 32 | -15.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Presbyterian | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Little Rock | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | S Indiana | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Alice Lloyd | -- | W by 50 | -- |
| 01/01 | Away | Lindenwood | +6.0 | L by 13 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | SIU Edward | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | UT Martin | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | SE Missouri St | +5.5 | W by 2 | +7.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Tennessee St | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Tenn Tech | +1.5 | W by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | W Illinois | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | E Illinois | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | SIU Edward | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Lindenwood | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | SE Missouri St | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | UT Martin | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Tenn Tech | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee St | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | E Illinois | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | W Illinois | -8.5 | W by 22 | +13.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Indiana | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | Little Rock | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/06 | Neutral | SE Missouri St | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Tennessee St | +5.5 | L by 26 | -20.5 |
W Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Away | Radford | +16.5 | L by 5 | +11.5 |
| 11/07 | Away | Iowa | +31.0 | L by 19 | +12.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | CS Bakersfield | +7.0 | L by 16 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Cal Baptist | +15.5 | L by 10 | +5.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Coe College | -- | W by 11 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | Coastal Car | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | North Dakota | (Pick) | L by 9 | -9.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | St. Ambrose | -- | W by 16 | -- |
| 12/02 | Away | Drake | +17.5 | L by 51 | -33.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Hannibal LaGrange College | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 12/13 | Away | North Dakota | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Lindenwood | +12.5 | L by 16 | -3.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | SIU Edward | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/01 | Away | UT Martin | +13.5 | L by 7 | +6.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | SE Missouri St | +13.5 | L by 23 | -9.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Tennessee St | +6.5 | L by 22 | -15.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tenn Tech | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | E Illinois | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Little Rock | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Morehead St | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Indiana | +6.5 | L by 32 | -25.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | SE Missouri St | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | UT Martin | +9.5 | L by 40 | -30.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Tenn Tech | +9.0 | L by 25 | -16.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tennessee St | +14.5 | L by 27 | -12.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | E Illinois | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Little Rock | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/19 | Home | S Indiana | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Morehead St | +8.5 | L by 22 | -13.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | SIU Edward | +13.5 | L by 20 | -6.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Lindenwood | +11.5 | L by 22 | -10.5 |