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San Francisco at Memphis: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 8, 2025 3:00 pm - Memphis, TN
Odds: Memphis by 2, Total Points: 157

Matchup Menu: SF @ MEM

More Games From Nov 8, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SF MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 62.4
Field Goal % 41.7% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 27.9 43.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.8 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 30.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.7 19.8
Free Throw % 69.9% 71.5%
Ball Control SF MEM
Rebounds 39.3 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 11.4
Turnovers 11.4 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.6
Steals 5.3 7.6
Fouls 15.8 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SF MEM
2 Point Attempt 32.1% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 22.3%
Player Fouled 26.4% 21.8%
Turnover 15.7% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF MEM
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 30.0%