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San Francisco vs. Mississippi St: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Dec 7, 2025 4:00 pm - Tupelo, MS (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi State by 4.5, Total Points: 151

Matchup Menu: SF vs. MSST

More Games From Dec 7, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 151.0	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 151.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over
Under 151.0	Similar Games	56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SF	MSST
Season	17-15-0	16-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-9-0	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	7-3-0	5-5-0
Home	9-6-0	5-11-0
Away	8-9-0	11-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

San Francisco Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	UC Santa Cruz	--	98-53	Under	--
11/08	Away	Memphis	157.0	70-76	Under	-11.0
11/12	Home	Portland St	154.5	80-70	Under	-4.5
11/15	Home	Bradley	147.5	75-64	Under	-8.5
11/18	Home	NW State	143.0	84-64	Over	+5.0
11/22	Neutral	Minnesota	140.0	77-65	Over	+2.0
11/27	Neutral	Colorado	150.5	69-79	Under	-2.5
11/28	Neutral	Nevada	142.5	65-81	Over	+3.5
12/03	Home	N Alabama	145.5	63-65	Under	-17.5
12/07	Neutral	Mississippi St	151.0	65-62	Under	-24.0
12/13	Away	Saint Louis	155.5	75-85	Over	+4.5
12/17	Home	Loyola Chi	143.5	85-71	Over	+12.5
12/21	Home	Morgan St	145.5	94-64	Over	+12.5
12/28	Away	Seattle	147.0	67-59	Under	-21.0
12/30	Away	Oregon St	144.0	62-70	Under	-12.0
01/02	Home	San Diego	152.5	74-64	Under	-14.5
01/04	Home	Portland	147.0	73-68	Under	-6.0
01/08	Away	Loyola Mymt	141.5	82-84	Over	+24.5
01/10	Away	Pepperdine	140.5	80-60	Under	-0.5
01/13	Home	Saint Mary's	140.5	68-82	Over	+9.5
01/18	Home	Washington St	146.0	85-80	Over	+19.0
01/24	Away	Gonzaga	149.5	66-68	Under	-15.5
01/28	Away	Santa Clara	151.0	73-88	Over	+10.0
01/31	Home	Pacific	138.5	87-82	Over	+30.5
02/04	Home	Loyola Mymt	144.5	75-84	Over	+14.5
02/07	Away	Saint Mary's	142.5	54-79	Under	-9.5
02/12	Home	Oregon St	141.0	63-90	Over	+12.0
02/15	Away	San Diego	148.0	92-79	Over	+23.0
02/18	Home	Gonzaga	148.5	59-80	Under	-9.5
02/21	Home	Santa Clara	159.5	73-94	Over	+7.5
02/28	Away	Pacific	142.5	72-61	Under	-9.5
03/07	Neutral	Portland	146.5	82-65	Over	+0.5
03/08	Neutral	Oregon St	144.5	77-78	Over	+10.5

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5