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Miss Valley St at Florida St: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Dec 19, 2025 7:00 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Florida State by 39.5, Total Points: 164.5

Matchup Menu: MVSU @ FSU

More Games From Dec 19, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 164.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 164.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 164.5	Similar Games	65% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MVSU	FSU
Season	14-17-1	17-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	7-11-1	12-8-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 4
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	3-6-1	7-3-0
Home	4-5-1	8-9-0
Away	10-12-0	9-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miss Valley St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	UAB	146.5	55-106	Over	+14.5
11/05	Home	Mississippi Univ. For Women	--	97-61	Under	--
11/07	Away	Murray St	160.0	60-108	Over	+8.0
11/12	Away	Hawai'i	151.0	56-88	Under	-7.0
11/14	Neutral	Utah Tech	145.0	75-81	Over	+11.0
11/15	Neutral	Manhattan	154.5	73-80	Under	-1.5
11/22	Away	CS Bakersfield	139.0	70-86	Over	+17.0
11/25	Away	Texas A&M	154.5	84-120	Over	+49.5
12/03	Away	UL Monroe	152.0	52-66	Under	-34.0
12/08	Away	Kansas St	160.5	49-108	Under	-3.5
12/16	Home	Tarleton St	142.5	64-88	Over	+9.5
12/19	Away	Florida St	164.5	49-96	Under	-19.5
12/22	Away	West Virginia	137.5	51-86	Under	-0.5
12/29	Away	Oklahoma	153.5	69-93	Over	+8.5
01/03	Home	Alabama St	144.0	69-89	Over	+14.0
01/05	Home	Alabama A&M	135.5	51-71	Under	-13.5
01/10	Away	Prairie View	153.5	69-70	Under	-14.5
01/12	Away	Texas So	142.5	51-84	Under	-7.5
01/17	Home	Bethune	144.5	63-79	Under	-2.5
01/19	Home	Florida A&M	138.5	48-62	Under	-28.5
01/28	Away	Southern	142.0	69-80	Over	+7.0
01/31	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	143.5	70-78	Over	+4.5
02/07	Home	Jackson St	143.5	81-97	Over	+34.5
02/09	Home	Alcorn St	140.0	66-74	Push	0.0
02/14	Away	Alabama A&M	138.5	65-72	Under	-1.5
02/16	Away	Alabama St	141.5	55-92	Over	+5.5
02/19	Home	Prairie View	153.0	62-72	Under	-19.0
02/21	Home	Texas So	143.5	72-71	Under	-0.5
02/23	Away	Grambling	136.5	62-83	Over	+8.5
02/28	Away	AR-Pine Bluff	147.5	70-69	Under	-8.5
03/03	Away	Alcorn St	139.5	64-67	Under	-8.5
03/05	Away	Jackson St	145.5	77-85	Over	+16.5
03/09	Neutral	Grambling	135.5	52-77	Under	-6.5

Florida St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Alcorn St	157.0	108-76	Over	+27.0
11/07	Home	Alabama St	166.5	101-64	Under	-1.5
11/11	Away	Florida	180.5	76-78	Under	-26.5
11/18	Home	UT Martin	165.0	87-73	Under	-5.0
11/21	Home	Georgia So	175.5	98-72	Under	-5.5
11/25	Home	CS Bakersfield	159.5	89-59	Under	-11.5
11/28	Neutral	Texas A&M	175.0	59-95	Under	-21.0
12/02	Home	Georgia	176.5	73-107	Over	+3.5
12/06	Neutral	Houston	148.5	67-82	Over	+0.5
12/13	Neutral	UMass	165.5	95-103	Over	+32.5
12/16	Away	Dayton	163.0	69-97	Over	+3.0
12/19	Home	Miss Valley St	164.5	96-49	Under	-19.5
12/22	Home	Jacksonville	160.0	87-63	Under	-10.0
12/30	Away	North Carolina	166.5	66-79	Under	-21.5
01/03	Home	Duke	163.0	87-91	Over	+15.0
01/10	Home	NC State	160.0	69-113	Over	+22.0
01/13	Away	Syracuse	160.5	86-94	Over	+19.5
01/17	Home	Wake Forest	168.5	68-69	Under	-31.5
01/20	Away	Miami	163.5	65-63	Under	-35.5
01/24	Away	SMU	164.5	80-83	Under	-1.5
01/28	Home	California	157.5	63-61	Under	-33.5
01/31	Home	Stanford	150.5	88-80	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Notre Dame	153.0	82-79	Over	+8.0
02/10	Home	Virginia	156.0	58-61	Under	-37.0
02/14	Away	Virginia Tech	156.5	92-69	Over	+4.5
02/17	Home	Boston College	148.0	80-72	Over	+4.0
02/21	Away	Clemson	143.5	70-65	Under	-8.5
02/24	Home	Miami	153.5	73-83	Over	+2.5
02/28	Away	Georgia Tech	158.5	80-71	Under	-7.5
03/04	Away	Pittsburgh	144.5	75-74	Over	+4.5
03/07	Home	SMU	158.5	91-78	Over	+10.5
03/11	Neutral	California	154.5	95-89	Over	+29.5
03/12	Neutral	Duke	150.5	79-80	Over	+8.5