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Charleston at NC A&T: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 19, 2026 7:00 pm - Greensboro, NC
Odds: Charleston by 5, Total Points: 147

Matchup Menu: COFC @ NCAT

More Games From Feb 19, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC NCAT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting COFC NCAT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 61.4
Field Goal % 45.7% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 30.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 18.0
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.9%
Ball Control COFC NCAT
Rebounds 36.1 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.1
Turnovers 8.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.6
Steals 5.4 4.7
Fouls 15.3 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC NCAT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with COFC NCAT
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 26.3%
Player Fouled 23.5% 21.4%
Turnover 11.6% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC NCAT
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 28.9%