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E Kentucky at Austin Peay: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 15, 2026 8:00 pm - Clarksville, TN
Odds: Austin Peay by 7.5, Total Points: 153

Matchup Menu: EKY @ PEAY

More Games From Jan 15, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY PEAY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting EKY PEAY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 56.9
Field Goal % 43.7% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 36.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 26.1
Free Throw % 71.1% 73.7%
Ball Control EKY PEAY
Rebounds 35.5 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 10.1
Turnovers 10.7 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 1.8
Steals 5.8 7.5
Fouls 16.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY PEAY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with EKY PEAY
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 26.3%
Player Fouled 19.8% 23.5%
Turnover 14.9% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY PEAY
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.3% 30.1%