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Virginia vs. Duke: Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Mar 14, 2026 8:30 pm - Charlotte, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Duke by 6.5, Total Points: 139.5

DUKE -6.5 Open -8.5 High -8.5
Last -7.5 Low -6.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 916 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Duke won the game 658 times (71.8%).
  • The team like Virginia won the game 258 times (28.2%).
  • The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 468-441-7 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 984 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 497-465-22 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -- -6.5 --
Open -- -8.5 --
History
03/14 07:09 PM -- -6.5 --
03/14 03:41 PM -- -6.5 --
03/14 12:34 PM -- -7.5 --
03/14 11:29 AM -- -6.5 --
03/14 10:56 AM -- -7.5 --
03/14 10:06 AM -- -7.5 --
03/14 09:34 AM -- -7.5 --
03/14 02:54 AM -- -8.5 --