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Ball St at Toledo: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 31, 2026 12:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 8.5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: BALL @ TOL

More Games From Jan 31, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 146.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 146.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go over
Over 146.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BALL	TOL
Season	9-19-1	13-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	7-10-1	9-12-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	3-6-1	4-6-0
Home	3-8-1	6-7-0
Away	6-11-0	7-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Ball St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Louisiana	141.5	75-64	Under	-2.5
11/07	Home	Mansfield	--	84-54	Under	--
11/11	Away	Wisconsin	155.5	55-86	Under	-14.5
11/15	Home	Little Rock	146.5	62-68	Under	-16.5
11/22	Away	Indiana St	154.0	52-70	Under	-32.0
11/28	Neutral	Monmouth	136.5	73-80	Over	+16.5
11/29	Away	Lafayette	140.5	37-55	Under	-48.5
11/30	Neutral	Le Moyne	140.5	96-85	Over	+40.5
12/03	Away	Evansville	137.0	52-64	Under	-21.0
12/09	Home	S Dakota St	143.0	64-68	Under	-11.0
12/14	Away	Campbell	145.5	64-69	Under	-12.5
12/20	Home	Miami OH	148.0	77-86	Over	+15.0
12/29	Home	Earlham	--	93-30	Under	--
01/03	Away	Buffalo	144.5	72-85	Over	+12.5
01/06	Home	E Michigan	137.5	52-74	Under	-11.5
01/10	Away	UMass	147.0	71-79	Over	+3.0
01/13	Away	Akron	153.0	77-87	Over	+11.0
01/16	Home	Ohio	147.5	76-71	Under	-0.5
01/20	Away	C Michigan	142.5	68-67	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	N Illinois	142.0	58-53	Under	-31.0
01/31	Away	Toledo	146.5	55-73	Under	-18.5
02/03	Away	Bowling Green	139.5	52-77	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	UL Monroe	150.5	73-68	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	Buffalo	141.5	53-63	Under	-25.5
02/14	Home	Kent St	143.0	68-75	Push	0.0
02/17	Away	Ohio	144.5	57-69	Under	-18.5
02/20	Home	Akron	147.5	65-78	Under	-4.5
02/24	Home	UMass	143.5	74-73	Over	+3.5
02/28	Away	N Illinois	133.5	79-43	Under	-11.5
03/03	Away	W Michigan	138.5	74-71	Over	+6.5
03/06	Home	C Michigan	135.5	85-69	Over	+18.5

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5