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Louisville at Pittsburgh: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 8:00 pm - Pittsburgh, PA
Odds: Louisville by 7, Total Points: 152.5

Matchup Menu: LOU @ PITT

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Pittsburgh +7.5 Official TR Pick Pittsburgh 53% odds to cover
Pittsburgh +7.5 Power Rating Model Pittsburgh 58% odds to cover
Pittsburgh +7.5 Decision Tree Pittsburgh 53% odds to cover
Louisville -7.5 Similar Games Louisville 54% odds to cover
Louisville -7.5 Predictive Ratings Louisville 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record LOU adv PITT
Season 17-18-0 17-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-13-0 11-9-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 3-7-0 7-3-0
Home 10-7-0 9-9-0
Away 7-11-0 8-7-0

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Carolina St -36.5 W by 59 +22.5
11/06 Home Jackson St -38.5 W by 36 -2.5
11/11 Home Kentucky -6.0 W by 8 +2.0
11/15 Home Ohio -31.0 W by 25 -6.0
11/21 Neutral Cincinnati -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
11/24 Home E Michigan -33.5 W by 41 +7.5
11/26 Home NJIT -43.5 W by 57 +13.5
12/03 Away Arkansas -2.0 L by 9 -11.0
12/06 Neutral Indiana -4.0 W by 9 +5.0
12/13 Home Memphis -16.5 W by 26 +9.5
12/16 Away Tennessee +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
12/20 Home Montana -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/30 Away California -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
01/02 Away Stanford -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
01/06 Home Duke (Pick) L by 11 -11.0
01/10 Home Boston College -21.0 W by 13 -8.0
01/13 Home Virginia -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
01/17 Away Pittsburgh -7.0 W by 41 +34.0
01/24 Home Virginia Tech -13.5 W by 14 +0.5
01/26 Away Duke +8.5 L by 31 -22.5
01/31 Home SMU -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
02/04 Home Notre Dame -18.0 W by 11 -7.0
02/07 Away Wake Forest -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
02/09 Home NC State -7.5 W by 41 +33.5
02/14 Neutral Baylor -7.0 W by 11 +4.0
02/17 Away SMU -4.0 L by 10 -14.0
02/21 Home Georgia Tech -23.0 W by 17 -6.0
02/23 Away North Carolina -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
02/28 Away Clemson -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
03/03 Home Syracuse -14.5 W by 15 +0.5
03/07 Away Miami +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/11 Neutral SMU -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/12 Neutral Miami -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/19 Neutral S Florida -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/21 Neutral Michigan St +5.5 L by 8 -2.5

Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Youngstown St -14.0 W by 15 +1.0
11/07 Home Longwood -15.0 W by 18 +3.0
11/10 Home E Michigan -16.0 W by 12 -4.0
11/13 Away West Virginia +6.0 L by 22 -16.0
11/17 Home Bucknell -15.5 W by 34 +18.5
11/20 Neutral UCF -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
11/23 Home Quinnipiac -13.0 L by 8 -21.0
11/28 Home Ohio St +5.5 W by 1 +6.5
12/02 Home Texas A&M +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
12/07 Home Hofstra -8.5 L by 7 -15.5
12/13 Away Villanova +10.0 L by 18 -8.0
12/17 Home Binghamton -24.5 W by 40 +15.5
12/21 Neutral Penn St (Pick) W by 34 +34.0
12/30 Away Miami +9.5 L by 7 +2.5
01/03 Home Clemson +4.0 L by 5 -1.0
01/10 Home Syracuse -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
01/14 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 23 +21.5
01/17 Home Louisville +7.0 L by 41 -34.0
01/21 Away Boston College -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
01/24 Home NC State +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
01/27 Home Wake Forest -1.0 W by 4 +3.0
01/31 Away Clemson +12.5 L by 11 +1.5
02/03 Away Virginia +12.5 L by 20 -7.5
02/07 Home SMU +4.0 L by 19 -15.0
02/10 Home Duke +18.0 L by 16 +2.0
02/14 Away North Carolina +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
02/21 Home Notre Dame -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
02/25 Away Stanford +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
02/28 Away California +6.5 W by 16 +22.5
03/04 Home Florida St +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
03/07 Away Syracuse +5.5 W by 2 +7.5
03/10 Neutral Stanford +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
03/11 Neutral NC State +8.5 L by 10 -1.5