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Ball St at Buffalo: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 2:00 pm - Buffalo, NY
Odds: Buffalo by 6, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: BALL @ BUFF

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 143.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 144.5	Similar Games	61% odds to go over
Over 143.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BALL	BUFF
Season	9-19-1	16-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	7-10-1	10-9-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	3-6-1	4-6-0
Home	3-8-1	7-6-0
Away	6-11-0	9-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Ball St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Louisiana	141.5	75-64	Under	-2.5
11/07	Home	Mansfield	--	84-54	Under	--
11/11	Away	Wisconsin	155.5	55-86	Under	-14.5
11/15	Home	Little Rock	146.5	62-68	Under	-16.5
11/22	Away	Indiana St	154.0	52-70	Under	-32.0
11/28	Neutral	Monmouth	136.5	73-80	Over	+16.5
11/29	Away	Lafayette	140.5	37-55	Under	-48.5
11/30	Neutral	Le Moyne	140.5	96-85	Over	+40.5
12/03	Away	Evansville	137.0	52-64	Under	-21.0
12/09	Home	S Dakota St	143.0	64-68	Under	-11.0
12/14	Away	Campbell	145.5	64-69	Under	-12.5
12/20	Home	Miami OH	148.0	77-86	Over	+15.0
12/29	Home	Earlham	--	93-30	Under	--
01/03	Away	Buffalo	144.5	72-85	Over	+12.5
01/06	Home	E Michigan	137.5	52-74	Under	-11.5
01/10	Away	UMass	147.0	71-79	Over	+3.0
01/13	Away	Akron	153.0	77-87	Over	+11.0
01/16	Home	Ohio	147.5	76-71	Under	-0.5
01/20	Away	C Michigan	142.5	68-67	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	N Illinois	142.0	58-53	Under	-31.0
01/31	Away	Toledo	146.5	55-73	Under	-18.5
02/03	Away	Bowling Green	139.5	52-77	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	UL Monroe	150.5	73-68	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	Buffalo	141.5	53-63	Under	-25.5
02/14	Home	Kent St	143.0	68-75	Push	0.0
02/17	Away	Ohio	144.5	57-69	Under	-18.5
02/20	Home	Akron	147.5	65-78	Under	-4.5
02/24	Home	UMass	143.5	74-73	Over	+3.5
02/28	Away	N Illinois	133.5	79-43	Under	-11.5
03/03	Away	W Michigan	138.5	74-71	Over	+6.5
03/06	Home	C Michigan	135.5	85-69	Over	+18.5

Buffalo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Southern Miss	154.0	85-79	Over	+10.0
11/07	Home	Green Bay	148.0	83-76	Over	+11.0
11/11	Away	DePaul	153.5	66-53	Under	-34.5
11/15	Home	RIT	--	80-64	Under	--
11/18	Home	Vermont	141.5	94-90	Over	+42.5
11/24	Neutral	VMI	151.0	78-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Bucknell	147.0	73-71	Under	-3.0
11/29	Away	Canisius	139.0	71-53	Under	-15.0
12/06	Home	St Bonaventure	144.0	69-77	Over	+2.0
12/09	Away	UMBC	145.5	83-79	Over	+16.5
12/14	Away	E Carolina	146.5	70-73	Under	-3.5
12/20	Away	W Michigan	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
12/22	Home	Penn St.-Behrend	--	92-63	Under	--
12/31	Away	N Illinois	155.0	81-67	Under	-7.0
01/03	Home	Ball St	144.5	85-72	Over	+12.5
01/10	Away	Ohio	156.0	80-91	Over	+15.0
01/13	Home	Kent St	165.5	81-87	Over	+2.5
01/17	Away	Miami OH	162.5	102-105	Over	+44.5
01/20	Home	Akron	166.5	63-82	Under	-21.5
01/23	Home	UMass	159.5	67-68	Under	-24.5
01/27	Away	Bowling Green	150.0	89-78	Over	+17.0
01/31	Home	Ohio	156.5	83-95	Over	+21.5
02/03	Home	Miami OH	164.5	71-73	Under	-20.5
02/07	Away	S Alabama	144.0	69-81	Over	+6.0
02/11	Away	Ball St	141.5	63-53	Under	-25.5
02/17	Home	N Illinois	147.0	70-72	Under	-5.0
02/21	Away	UMass	151.5	86-82	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Akron	160.5	85-99	Over	+23.5
02/28	Home	C Michigan	151.5	70-75	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	E Michigan	144.5	72-67	Under	-5.5
03/06	Away	Toledo	155.5	78-98	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Akron	158.5	70-73	Under	-15.5