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Louisville at Duke: Recap

Monday Jan 26, 2026 7:00 pm - Durham, NC
Odds: Duke by 8.5, Total Points: 157

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Duke LOU 20.0%
DUKE 80.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DUKE -8.5 LOU 46.8%
DUKE 53.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 157.0 Over 46.8%
Under 53.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off LOU -2.8%
DUKE -1.4%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 73.1 74.2 52
DUKE 82.4 82.8 83

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU DUKE
Points/Game 84.3 81.6
Avg Score Margin +11.7 +18.0
Assists/Game 17.1 16.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 38.3 40.3
Effective FG % 56.5% 56.7%
Off Rebound % 31.6% 36.8%
FTA/FGA 0.331 0.382
Turnover % 14.5% 13.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU DUKE
Opp Points/Game 72.5 63.6
Opp Effective FG % 48.7% 46.2%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.1 10.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.9 26.4
Blocks/Game 3.3 3.4
Steals/Game 6.8 7.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 15.5