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Louisville vs. Cincinnati: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Nov 21, 2025 6:30 pm - Cincinnati, OH (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 8.5, Total Points: 164

Matchup Menu: LOU vs. CIN

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 164.0	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 164.0	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over
Under 164.0	Similar Games	64% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	LOU	CIN
Season	15-20-0	12-21-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-12-0	9-11-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	7-3-0
Home	6-11-0	6-12-0
Away	9-9-0	6-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Carolina St	159.0	104-45	Under	-10.0
11/06	Home	Jackson St	165.5	106-70	Over	+10.5
11/11	Home	Kentucky	173.0	96-88	Over	+11.0
11/15	Home	Ohio	175.0	106-81	Over	+12.0
11/21	Neutral	Cincinnati	164.0	74-64	Under	-26.0
11/24	Home	E Michigan	162.5	87-46	Under	-29.5
11/26	Home	NJIT	158.5	104-47	Under	-7.5
12/03	Away	Arkansas	166.5	80-89	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Indiana	162.5	87-78	Over	+2.5
12/13	Home	Memphis	162.5	99-73	Over	+9.5
12/16	Away	Tennessee	156.5	62-83	Under	-11.5
12/20	Home	Montana	165.0	94-54	Under	-17.0
12/30	Away	California	159.0	90-70	Over	+1.0
01/02	Away	Stanford	157.5	76-80	Under	-1.5
01/06	Home	Duke	160.5	73-84	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	Boston College	151.0	75-62	Under	-14.0
01/13	Home	Virginia	155.0	70-79	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	Pittsburgh	152.5	100-59	Over	+6.5
01/24	Home	Virginia Tech	160.5	85-71	Under	-4.5
01/26	Away	Duke	157.0	52-83	Under	-22.0
01/31	Home	SMU	161.5	88-74	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Notre Dame	156.5	76-65	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	Wake Forest	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	NC State	161.5	118-77	Over	+33.5
02/14	Neutral	Baylor	162.5	82-71	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	SMU	168.0	85-95	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Georgia Tech	167.5	87-70	Under	-10.5
02/23	Away	North Carolina	162.5	74-77	Under	-11.5
02/28	Away	Clemson	146.5	75-80	Over	+8.5
03/03	Home	Syracuse	159.5	77-62	Under	-20.5
03/07	Away	Miami	155.5	92-89	Over	+25.5
03/11	Neutral	SMU	164.5	62-58	Under	-44.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami	152.5	73-78	Under	-1.5
03/19	Neutral	S Florida	160.5	83-79	Over	+1.5
03/21	Neutral	Michigan St	151.5	69-77	Under	-5.5

Cincinnati Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	W Carolina	144.0	94-63	Over	+13.0
11/07	Home	Georgia St	151.5	74-64	Under	-13.5
11/11	Home	Dayton	148.5	74-62	Under	-12.5
11/16	Home	Mt St Mary's	146.0	72-55	Under	-19.0
11/21	Neutral	Louisville	164.0	64-74	Under	-26.0
11/24	Home	NJIT	141.5	94-67	Over	+19.5
11/26	Home	E Michigan	146.5	56-64	Under	-26.5
12/01	Home	Tarleton St	143.0	76-58	Under	-9.0
12/05	Away	Xavier	148.0	74-79	Over	+5.0
12/13	Neutral	Georgia	157.0	65-84	Under	-8.0
12/17	Home	Alabama St	145.5	88-51	Under	-6.5
12/21	Neutral	Clemson	140.5	65-68	Under	-7.5
12/29	Home	Lipscomb	152.5	89-62	Under	-1.5
01/03	Home	Houston	136.0	60-67	Under	-9.0
01/06	Away	West Virginia	132.0	60-62	Under	-10.0
01/11	Away	UCF	150.5	72-73	Under	-5.5
01/14	Home	Colorado	147.5	77-68	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Iowa St	142.0	79-70	Over	+7.0
01/21	Away	Arizona	151.0	51-77	Under	-23.0
01/24	Away	Arizona St	146.5	68-82	Over	+3.5
01/28	Home	Baylor	146.5	67-57	Under	-22.5
01/31	Away	Houston	135.5	54-76	Under	-5.5
02/05	Home	West Virginia	128.0	54-59	Under	-15.0
02/08	Home	UCF	146.0	92-72	Over	+18.0
02/11	Away	Kansas St	149.5	91-62	Over	+3.5
02/15	Home	Utah	141.5	69-65	Under	-7.5
02/21	Away	Kansas	139.5	84-68	Over	+12.5
02/24	Away	Texas Tech	142.5	68-80	Over	+5.5
02/28	Home	Oklahoma St	151.5	91-68	Over	+7.5
03/03	Home	BYU	151.5	90-68	Over	+6.5
03/07	Away	TCU	140.5	63-73	Under	-4.5
03/10	Neutral	Utah	137.5	73-66	Over	+1.5
03/11	Neutral	UCF	149.5	65-66	Under	-18.5