This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Buffalo at Toledo: Recap

Friday Mar 6, 2026 7:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 5.5, Total Points: 155.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Toledo BUFF 34.3%
TOL 65.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
BUFF +5.5 BUFF 52.9%
TOL 47.1%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 155.5 Over 47.1%
Under 52.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
BUFF +200 BUFF +1.0%
TOL -5.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
BUFF 74.7 75.0 78
TOL 79.5 80.5 98

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat BUFF TOL
Points/Game 77.5 79.8
Avg Score Margin +0.5 +2.3
Assists/Game 14.1 15.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 31.3 32.9
Effective FG % 55.4% 54.5%
Off Rebound % 25.6% 27.1%
FTA/FGA 0.395 0.305
Turnover % 14.3% 12.9%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat BUFF TOL
Opp Points/Game 77.0 77.4
Opp Effective FG % 55.1% 54.4%
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.5 8.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 20.8 20.8
Blocks/Game 2.8 2.9
Steals/Game 7.6 7.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.1 15.2