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Buffalo at S Alabama: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 4:00 pm - Mobile, AL
Odds: South Alabama by 1.5, Total Points: 144

Matchup Menu: BUFF @ USA

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 143.0	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 143.0	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Under 143.0	Similar Games	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BUFF	USA
Season	16-14-0	16-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	9-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	7-6-0	5-7-0
Away	9-8-0	11-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Buffalo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Southern Miss	154.0	85-79	Over	+10.0
11/07	Home	Green Bay	148.0	83-76	Over	+11.0
11/11	Away	DePaul	153.5	66-53	Under	-34.5
11/15	Home	RIT	--	80-64	Under	--
11/18	Home	Vermont	141.5	94-90	Over	+42.5
11/24	Neutral	VMI	151.0	78-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Bucknell	147.0	73-71	Under	-3.0
11/29	Away	Canisius	139.0	71-53	Under	-15.0
12/06	Home	St Bonaventure	144.0	69-77	Over	+2.0
12/09	Away	UMBC	145.5	83-79	Over	+16.5
12/14	Away	E Carolina	146.5	70-73	Under	-3.5
12/20	Away	W Michigan	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
12/22	Home	Penn St.-Behrend	--	92-63	Under	--
12/31	Away	N Illinois	155.0	81-67	Under	-7.0
01/03	Home	Ball St	144.5	85-72	Over	+12.5
01/10	Away	Ohio	156.0	80-91	Over	+15.0
01/13	Home	Kent St	165.5	81-87	Over	+2.5
01/17	Away	Miami OH	162.5	102-105	Over	+44.5
01/20	Home	Akron	166.5	63-82	Under	-21.5
01/23	Home	UMass	159.5	67-68	Under	-24.5
01/27	Away	Bowling Green	150.0	89-78	Over	+17.0
01/31	Home	Ohio	156.5	83-95	Over	+21.5
02/03	Home	Miami OH	164.5	71-73	Under	-20.5
02/07	Away	S Alabama	144.0	69-81	Over	+6.0
02/11	Away	Ball St	141.5	63-53	Under	-25.5
02/17	Home	N Illinois	147.0	70-72	Under	-5.0
02/21	Away	UMass	151.5	86-82	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Akron	160.5	85-99	Over	+23.5
02/28	Home	C Michigan	151.5	70-75	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	E Michigan	144.5	72-67	Under	-5.5
03/06	Away	Toledo	155.5	78-98	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Akron	158.5	70-73	Under	-15.5

S Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Toledo	151.0	76-74	Under	-1.0
11/06	Home	Alcorn St	141.5	76-70	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Spring Hill	--	99-50	Under	--
11/13	Neutral	C Michigan	143.0	66-64	Under	-13.0
11/15	Neutral	Coppin St	133.5	72-62	Over	+0.5
11/19	Away	Jacksonville St	134.5	71-65	Over	+1.5
11/21	Away	UAB	147.5	72-80	Over	+4.5
11/30	Away	UTSA	141.0	82-58	Under	-1.0
12/02	Neutral	New Mexico St	135.5	77-75	Over	+16.5
12/05	Away	E Tennessee St	143.5	65-91	Over	+12.5
12/14	Home	N Texas	135.0	57-58	Under	-20.0
12/17	Away	UL Monroe	148.5	96-92	Over	+39.5
12/20	Away	Texas St	137.0	65-67	Under	-5.0
12/29	Home	Mobile	--	85-52	Under	--
12/31	Away	Louisiana	128.0	63-58	Under	-7.0
01/03	Away	Troy	148.5	49-59	Under	-40.5
01/10	Home	Georgia So	148.5	87-71	Over	+9.5
01/15	Home	Arkansas St	154.0	91-87	Over	+24.0
01/17	Home	Louisiana	130.5	56-59	Under	-15.5
01/22	Away	J Madison	138.5	90-83	Over	+34.5
01/29	Home	Coastal Car	140.5	53-48	Under	-39.5
01/31	Home	Georgia St	139.5	69-67	Under	-3.5
02/04	Away	App State	131.0	57-65	Under	-9.0
02/07	Home	Buffalo	144.0	81-69	Over	+6.0
02/12	Away	Southern Miss	135.5	84-78	Over	+26.5
02/14	Away	Arkansas St	149.5	92-88	Over	+30.5
02/16	Away	Marshall	150.5	80-84	Over	+13.5
02/19	Home	Texas St	137.5	82-90	Over	+34.5
02/21	Home	Troy	144.5	65-54	Under	-25.5
02/25	Home	UL Monroe	153.5	89-54	Under	-10.5
02/27	Home	Southern Miss	141.5	55-68	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Georgia So	149.5	85-94	Over	+29.5
03/17	Away	Auburn	151.5	67-78	Under	-6.5