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Buffalo at N Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Tuesday Feb 28, 2023 8:00 pm -
DeKalb, IL
Odds:
Buffalo by 4.5,
Total Points:
153.5
Matchup Menu: BUFF @ NIU
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo -4.5 | Official TR Pick | Buffalo 52% odds to cover |
| Buffalo -4.5 | Similar Games | Buffalo 64% odds to cover |
| Buffalo -4.5 | Decision Tree | Buffalo 52% odds to cover |
| N Illinois +4.5 | Power Rating Model | N Illinois 78% odds to cover |
| N Illinois +4.5 | Predictive Ratings | N Illinois 65% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | NIU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-12-0 | 13-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 6-7-0 | 3-8-0 | |
| Away | 12-5-0 | 10-7-0 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Southern Miss | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Green Bay | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | DePaul | +18.5 | W by 13 | +31.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | RIT | -- | W by 16 | -- |
| 11/18 | Home | Vermont | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | VMI | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Bucknell | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Canisius | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | St Bonaventure | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | UMBC | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | E Carolina | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | W Michigan | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Penn St.-Behrend | -- | W by 29 | -- |
| 12/31 | Away | N Illinois | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Ball St | -6.0 | W by 13 | +7.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Ohio | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Kent St | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Miami OH | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Akron | +8.5 | L by 19 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | UMass | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Bowling Green | +8.0 | W by 11 | +19.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Ohio | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miami OH | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | S Alabama | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Ball St | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Illinois | -8.5 | L by 2 | -10.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | UMass | +7.5 | W by 4 | +11.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Akron | +15.5 | L by 14 | +1.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | C Michigan | -5.5 | L by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | E Michigan | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Toledo | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Akron | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
N Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | UL Monroe | -7.0 | W by 20 | +13.0 |
| 11/07 | Away | Wisconsin | +29.0 | L by 25 | +4.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Grand Canyon | +22.0 | L by 29 | -7.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Benedictine University | -- | W by 55 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | N Iowa | +19.5 | L by 13 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Loyola Chi | +13.5 | W by 17 | +30.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Austin Peay | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Lindenwood | -3.5 | L by 35 | -38.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Bradley | +18.5 | L by 29 | -10.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Elon | +11.5 | L by 6 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | East-West University | -- | W by 48 | -- |
| 12/20 | Home | C Michigan | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Buffalo | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Kent St | +16.5 | L by 4 | +12.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Toledo | +8.0 | L by 14 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | E Michigan | +7.5 | L by 18 | -10.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | UMass | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Ball St | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | W Michigan | -1.5 | W by 20 | +18.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Miami OH | +16.5 | L by 24 | -7.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Georgia St | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Bowling Green | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | C Michigan | +4.5 | L by 42 | -37.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Buffalo | +8.5 | W by 2 | +10.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Ohio | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Toledo | +12.5 | L by 10 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Ball St | -1.5 | L by 36 | -37.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Kent St | +10.5 | L by 26 | -15.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Akron | +23.5 | L by 39 | -15.5 |