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S Florida at Alabama: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Dec 17, 2025 8:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 14.5, Total Points: 178.5

Matchup Menu: USF @ ALA

More Games From Dec 17, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 178.0	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 178.0	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over
Under 178.0	Similar Games	56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USF	ALA
Season	15-18-0	17-16-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	7-13-0	10-8-1
Streak	Ov 1	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	2-8-0	5-5-0
Home	5-9-0	7-8-0
Away	10-9-0	10-8-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

S Florida Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Florida A&M	153.5	102-67	Over	+15.5
11/08	Neutral	G Washington	159.5	95-99	Over	+34.5
11/12	Home	Coppin St	168.0	100-50	Under	-18.0
11/16	Away	Kennesaw St	177.0	108-89	Over	+20.0
11/19	Away	Oklahoma St	178.5	95-103	Over	+19.5
11/26	Neutral	VCU	173.0	66-78	Under	-29.0
11/27	Neutral	W Kentucky	167.5	97-91	Over	+20.5
11/28	Neutral	Colorado St	155.5	68-83	Under	-4.5
12/04	Home	Utah St	162.0	74-61	Under	-27.0
12/10	Home	Charleston	160.5	81-75	Under	-4.5
12/17	Away	Alabama	178.5	93-104	Over	+18.5
12/21	Home	UMBC	160.0	94-69	Over	+3.0
12/29	Home	Georgia College St. & U	--	111-50	Under	--
01/04	Home	UAB	163.5	106-109	Over	+51.5
01/07	Away	N Texas	148.0	74-70	Under	-4.0
01/10	Away	Tulsa	164.0	93-78	Over	+7.0
01/14	Home	E Carolina	158.0	82-71	Under	-5.0
01/18	Home	Wichita St	159.0	85-86	Over	+12.0
01/22	Away	UAB	169.5	82-69	Under	-18.5
01/25	Home	Florida Atlantic	166.5	89-75	Under	-2.5
01/28	Away	Tulane	158.5	97-83	Over	+21.5
01/31	Away	Temple	154.5	78-79	Over	+2.5
02/04	Home	UTSA	164.5	109-88	Over	+32.5
02/08	Home	Tulsa	170.5	80-74	Under	-16.5
02/11	Away	Wichita St	159.5	66-58	Under	-35.5
02/15	Away	Florida Atlantic	165.5	83-81	Under	-1.5
02/19	Home	Memphis	163.0	87-66	Under	-10.0
02/25	Away	Rice	157.5	75-56	Under	-26.5
03/01	Home	Tulane	155.5	90-62	Under	-3.5
03/05	Away	Memphis	163.5	96-89	Over	+21.5
03/08	Home	Charlotte	156.5	83-60	Under	-13.5
03/14	Neutral	Charlotte	154.5	86-64	Under	-4.5
03/15	Neutral	Wichita St	150.5	70-55	Under	-25.5
03/19	Neutral	Louisville	160.5	79-83	Over	+1.5

Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	North Dakota	170.5	91-62	Under	-17.5
11/08	Away	St John's	--	103-96	Under	--
11/13	Home	Purdue	172.5	80-87	Under	-5.5
11/19	Neutral	Illinois	181.5	90-86	Under	-5.5
11/24	Neutral	Gonzaga	178.5	85-95	Over	+1.5
11/25	Neutral	UNLV	181.0	115-76	Over	+10.0
11/26	Neutral	Maryland	166.5	105-72	Over	+10.5
12/03	Home	Clemson	166.0	90-84	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	UTSA	171.0	97-55	Under	-19.0
12/13	Neutral	Arizona	178.5	75-96	Under	-7.5
12/17	Home	S Florida	178.5	104-93	Over	+18.5
12/21	Neutral	Kennesaw St	182.5	92-81	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Yale	171.0	102-78	Over	+9.0
01/03	Home	Kentucky	174.0	89-74	Under	-11.0
01/07	Away	Vanderbilt	176.0	90-96	Over	+10.0
01/10	Home	Texas	177.5	88-92	Over	+2.5
01/13	Away	Mississippi St	171.5	97-82	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Oklahoma	176.0	83-81	Under	-12.0
01/24	Home	Tennessee	167.5	73-79	Under	-15.5
01/27	Home	Missouri	166.5	90-64	Under	-12.5
02/01	Away	Florida	177.0	77-100	Push	0.0
02/04	Home	Texas A&M	179.5	100-97	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Auburn	175.5	96-92	Over	+12.5
02/11	Away	Mississippi	163.0	93-74	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	South Carolina	168.0	89-75	Under	-4.0
02/18	Home	Arkansas	184.0	117-115	Over	+48.0
02/21	Away	LSU	171.5	90-83	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Mississippi St	176.5	100-75	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Tennessee	162.5	71-69	Under	-22.5
03/03	Away	Georgia	179.5	88-98	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Auburn	175.5	96-84	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Mississippi	166.5	79-80	Under	-7.5
03/20	Neutral	Hofstra	158.5	90-70	Over	+1.5
03/22	Neutral	Texas Tech	164.5	90-65	Under	-9.5
03/27	Neutral	Michigan	172.5	77-90	Under	-5.5