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Mississippi St at Texas: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 6:00 pm - Austin, TX
Odds: Texas by 10, Total Points: 157.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ TEX

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 156.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 156.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over
Under 156.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSST	TEX
Season	16-16-0	20-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	12-7-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	5-5-0	4-6-0
Home	5-11-0	10-7-0
Away	11-5-0	10-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5

Texas Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Neutral	Duke	154.0	60-75	Under	-19.0
11/08	Home	Lafayette	154.0	97-60	Over	+3.0
11/12	Home	F Dickinson	158.5	93-58	Under	-7.5
11/15	Home	Kansas City	159.5	71-55	Under	-33.5
11/18	Home	Rider	144.0	99-65	Over	+20.0
11/24	Neutral	Arizona St	152.5	86-87	Over	+20.5
11/25	Neutral	Chaminade	--	119-78	Under	--
11/26	Neutral	NC State	161.5	102-97	Over	+37.5
12/03	Home	Virginia	154.5	69-88	Over	+2.5
12/08	Home	Southern	158.5	95-69	Over	+5.5
12/12	Away	UConn	145.5	63-71	Under	-11.5
12/16	Home	Le Moyne	153.5	95-53	Under	-5.5
12/22	Home	Maryland ES	138.5	94-71	Over	+26.5
01/03	Home	Mississippi St	157.5	98-101	Over	+41.5
01/06	Away	Tennessee	153.0	71-85	Over	+3.0
01/10	Away	Alabama	177.5	92-88	Over	+2.5
01/14	Home	Vanderbilt	164.0	80-64	Under	-20.0
01/17	Home	Texas A&M	166.0	70-74	Under	-22.0
01/21	Away	Kentucky	151.5	80-85	Over	+13.5
01/24	Home	Georgia	167.5	87-67	Under	-13.5
01/28	Away	Auburn	154.5	82-88	Over	+15.5
01/31	Away	Oklahoma	156.5	79-69	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	South Carolina	149.5	84-75	Over	+9.5
02/07	Home	Mississippi	144.5	79-68	Over	+2.5
02/14	Away	Missouri	150.5	85-68	Over	+2.5
02/17	Home	LSU	150.5	88-85	Over	+22.5
02/21	Away	Georgia	163.5	80-91	Over	+7.5
02/25	Home	Florida	158.5	71-84	Under	-3.5
02/28	Away	Texas A&M	160.5	76-70	Under	-14.5
03/04	Away	Arkansas	163.5	85-105	Over	+26.5
03/07	Home	Oklahoma	154.5	85-88	Over	+18.5
03/11	Neutral	Mississippi	147.5	66-76	Under	-5.5
03/17	Neutral	NC State	158.5	68-66	Under	-24.5
03/19	Neutral	BYU	156.5	79-71	Under	-6.5
03/21	Neutral	Gonzaga	146.5	74-68	Under	-4.5
03/26	Neutral	Purdue	145.5	77-79	Over	+10.5