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Mississippi St vs. New Mexico: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Nov 21, 2025 7:00 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi State by 6.5, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: MSST vs. UNM

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
New Mexico +6.5 Official TR Pick New Mexico 52% odds to cover
New Mexico +6.5 Power Rating Model New Mexico 93% odds to cover
New Mexico +6.5 Decision Tree New Mexico 52% odds to cover
New Mexico +6.5 Predictive Ratings New Mexico 60% odds to cover
Mississippi St -6.5 Similar Games Mississippi St 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MSST adv UNM
Season 10-22-0 19-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 6-13-0 11-10-0
Streak L6 L1
Last 5 0-5-0 3-1-0
Last 10 2-8-0 5-4-0
Home 4-12-0 11-8-0
Away 6-10-0 8-8-0

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5

New Mexico Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home E Texas A&M -22.5 W by 22 -0.5
11/08 Home UT Arlington -13.5 W by 18 +4.5
11/11 Home UC Riverside -19.5 W by 14 -5.5
11/15 Away New Mexico St -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
11/20 Neutral Nebraska +8.5 L by 12 -3.5
11/21 Neutral Mississippi St +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
11/26 Home Alabama St -19.0 W by 6 -13.0
12/01 Home New Mexico Highlands -- W by 50 --
12/06 Home Santa Clara +1.0 W by 27 +28.0
12/10 Away VCU +8.5 W by 3 +11.5
12/14 Home FGCU -15.5 W by 16 +0.5
12/20 Home San Jose St -16.5 W by 23 +6.5
12/30 Away Boise St +5.0 L by 9 -4.0
01/03 Home Wyoming -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
01/06 Away Colorado St -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
01/10 Away Air Force -17.0 W by 42 +25.0
01/13 Home Grand Canyon -6.5 W by 23 +16.5
01/17 Away San Diego St +5.5 L by 4 +1.5
01/21 Home Fresno St -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/24 Home Nevada -8.5 W by 7 -1.5
01/27 Away UNLV -3.5 W by 28 +24.5
01/31 Away San Jose St -15.5 W by 10 -5.5
02/04 Home Utah St -1.5 L by 20 -21.5
02/07 Home Boise St -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
02/11 Away Grand Canyon +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
02/17 Home Air Force -28.0 W by 37 +9.0
02/21 Away Fresno St -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
02/24 Away Nevada +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
02/28 Home San Diego St -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
03/04 Home Colorado St -8.5 L by 8 -16.5
03/07 Away Utah St +7.5 L by 4 +3.5
03/12 Neutral San Jose St -16.5 W by 16 -0.5
03/13 Neutral San Diego St -- L by 2 --
03/18 Home Sam Houston -11.5 W by 24 +12.5
03/22 Home G Washington -6.5 W by 25 +18.5
03/24 Home Saint Joseph's -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
04/02 Neutral Tulsa -2.5 L by 5 -7.5