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Mississippi St at South Carolina: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 1:00 pm - Columbia, SC
Odds: South Carolina by 1, Total Points: 151.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ SCAR

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 151.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 151.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 151.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSST	SCAR
Season	16-16-0	14-16-2
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	7-11-1
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	5-5-0	3-7-0
Home	5-11-0	9-10-0
Away	11-5-0	5-6-2

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5

South Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	NC A&T	143.5	91-72	Over	+19.5
11/09	Home	Southern Miss	147.5	83-79	Over	+14.5
11/12	Home	Presbyterian	137.0	81-61	Over	+5.0
11/18	Home	Radford	154.0	87-58	Under	-9.0
11/21	Neutral	Butler	151.0	72-79	Push	0.0
11/23	Neutral	Northwestern	139.5	77-79	Over	+16.5
11/28	Home	Charleston So	150.5	74-62	Under	-14.5
12/02	Home	Virginia Tech	149.5	83-86	Over	+19.5
12/06	Home	Stetson	142.0	82-51	Under	-9.0
12/13	Home	The Citadel	142.0	71-55	Under	-16.0
12/16	Away	Clemson	142.5	61-68	Under	-13.5
12/22	Home	S Carolina St	149.5	95-70	Over	+15.5
12/30	Home	Albany	148.5	96-67	Over	+14.5
01/03	Home	Vanderbilt	154.5	71-83	Under	-0.5
01/06	Away	LSU	146.0	78-68	Push	0.0
01/10	Home	Georgia	163.0	70-75	Under	-18.0
01/14	Away	Arkansas	155.0	74-108	Over	+27.0
01/17	Away	Auburn	152.5	67-71	Under	-14.5
01/20	Home	Oklahoma	150.5	85-76	Over	+10.5
01/24	Away	Texas A&M	155.5	69-92	Over	+5.5
01/28	Home	Florida	152.0	48-95	Under	-9.0
01/31	Home	LSU	148.5	87-92	Over	+30.5
02/03	Away	Texas	149.5	75-84	Over	+9.5
02/07	Home	Missouri	146.5	59-78	Under	-9.5
02/14	Away	Alabama	168.0	75-89	Under	-4.0
02/17	Away	Florida	154.5	62-76	Under	-16.5
02/21	Home	Mississippi St	151.5	97-89	Over	+34.5
02/24	Home	Kentucky	151.5	63-72	Under	-16.5
02/28	Away	Georgia	158.5	68-87	Under	-3.5
03/03	Home	Tennessee	141.5	59-78	Under	-4.5
03/07	Away	Mississippi	147.5	64-61	Under	-22.5
03/11	Neutral	Oklahoma	149.5	74-86	Over	+10.5