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Samford at Mercer: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 2:00 pm - Macon, GA
Odds: Mercer by 3.5, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: SAM @ MER

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 155.0	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 155.0	Similar Games	51% odds to go under
Under 155.0	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SAM	MER
Season	18-11-1	14-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	13-5-1	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	5-6-1	9-3-0
Away	13-5-0	5-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Samford Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Tulane	154.5	72-85	Over	+2.5
11/07	Home	S Carolina St	154.5	82-72	Under	-0.5
11/12	Away	Texas So	153.5	93-90	Over	+29.5
11/14	Away	Arkansas	159.5	75-79	Under	-5.5
11/16	Away	C Arkansas	151.5	84-77	Over	+9.5
11/19	Home	FGCU	153.5	62-77	Under	-14.5
11/21	Away	New Mexico St	146.0	72-81	Over	+7.0
11/25	Neutral	Georgia St	147.0	78-63	Under	-6.0
11/26	Neutral	Utah Valley	148.0	45-89	Under	-14.0
12/05	Away	VCU	154.5	57-83	Under	-14.5
12/07	Home	Cornell	166.5	93-90	Over	+16.5
12/15	Home	Bryan	--	106-51	Under	--
12/19	Home	Reinhardt	--	85-49	Under	--
01/01	Away	VMI	155.0	78-58	Under	-19.0
01/03	Away	NC Greensboro	151.5	82-89	Over	+19.5
01/07	Home	W Carolina	153.5	82-77	Over	+5.5
01/10	Away	Chattanooga	148.5	79-88	Over	+18.5
01/14	Home	Furman	150.0	73-77	Push	0.0
01/17	Home	E Tennessee St	146.0	75-76	Over	+5.0
01/21	Away	Wofford	154.5	78-88	Over	+11.5
01/24	Home	Chattanooga	152.5	75-64	Under	-13.5
01/29	Away	Furman	149.5	73-78	Over	+1.5
02/01	Away	W Carolina	154.5	88-74	Over	+7.5
02/05	Home	The Citadel	146.5	78-64	Under	-4.5
02/07	Home	Mercer	161.0	69-49	Under	-43.0
02/11	Home	Wofford	150.0	97-80	Over	+27.0
02/14	Away	E Tennessee St	145.5	82-72	Over	+8.5
02/19	Away	The Citadel	142.0	78-75	Over	+11.0
02/21	Away	Mercer	156.5	86-89	Over	+18.5
02/26	Home	VMI	155.5	80-61	Under	-14.5
02/28	Home	NC Greensboro	156.5	87-78	Over	+8.5
03/07	Neutral	Furman	147.5	81-86	Over	+19.5

Mercer Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Tennessee	143.0	61-76	Under	-6.0
11/05	Home	La Grange	--	101-62	Under	--
11/09	Home	Lipscomb	158.5	92-77	Over	+10.5
11/15	Away	Winthrop	163.5	69-105	Over	+10.5
11/22	Away	E Kentucky	164.0	95-83	Over	+14.0
11/26	Home	App State	142.5	75-67	Under	-0.5
11/29	Away	Elon	159.5	91-84	Over	+15.5
12/02	Home	Georgia St	155.5	78-67	Under	-10.5
12/07	Home	Oglethorpe	--	100-50	Under	--
12/13	Away	Clemson	152.0	63-70	Under	-19.0
12/17	Away	UCF	160.5	63-81	Under	-16.5
12/20	Away	Washington St	152.0	78-84	Over	+10.0
12/28	Home	Baptist (FL)	--	122-49	Under	--
12/31	Away	Furman	153.5	72-74	Under	-7.5
01/03	Away	E Tennessee St	148.5	71-77	Under	-0.5
01/07	Home	The Citadel	147.0	101-63	Over	+17.0
01/10	Home	Wofford	157.5	109-97	Over	+48.5
01/15	Away	VMI	154.0	77-67	Under	-10.0
01/17	Away	NC Greensboro	156.0	102-92	Over	+38.0
01/21	Home	W Carolina	158.5	88-76	Over	+5.5
01/24	Away	Wofford	159.5	77-80	Under	-2.5
01/29	Home	NC Greensboro	159.5	95-77	Over	+12.5
01/31	Home	VMI	153.5	95-81	Over	+22.5
02/05	Away	Chattanooga	155.5	75-79	Under	-1.5
02/07	Away	Samford	161.0	49-69	Under	-43.0
02/11	Home	Furman	151.0	69-64	Under	-18.0
02/14	Away	The Citadel	148.0	70-54	Under	-24.0
02/19	Home	Chattanooga	152.0	90-94	Over	+32.0
02/21	Home	Samford	156.5	89-86	Over	+18.5
02/25	Away	W Carolina	156.5	74-78	Under	-4.5
02/28	Home	E Tennessee St	149.5	82-76	Over	+8.5
03/07	Neutral	W Carolina	154.5	73-77	Under	-4.5