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Samford at New Mexico St: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Nov 21, 2025 9:00 pm - Las Cruces, NM
Odds: New Mexico State by 8.5, Total Points: 146

Matchup Menu: SAM @ NMSU

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
New Mexico St -9.0 Official TR Pick New Mexico St 53% odds to cover
New Mexico St -9.0 Power Rating Model New Mexico St 84% odds to cover
New Mexico St -9.0 Decision Tree New Mexico St 54% odds to cover
Samford +9.0 Similar Games Samford 56% odds to cover
Samford +9.0 Predictive Ratings Samford 61% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record SAM adv NMSU
Season 17-12-1 14-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-6-0 10-12-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 8-2-0 5-5-0
Home 9-3-0 6-6-0
Away 8-9-1 8-9-0

Samford Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Tulane +8.0 L by 13 -5.0
11/07 Home S Carolina St -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
11/12 Away Texas So -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/14 Away Arkansas +24.5 L by 4 +20.5
11/16 Away C Arkansas -7.0 W by 7 0.0
11/19 Home FGCU -5.5 L by 15 -20.5
11/21 Away New Mexico St +8.5 L by 9 -0.5
11/25 Neutral Georgia St -6.5 W by 15 +8.5
11/26 Neutral Utah Valley +7.5 L by 44 -36.5
12/05 Away VCU +20.5 L by 26 -5.5
12/07 Home Cornell -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
12/15 Home Bryan -- W by 55 --
12/19 Home Reinhardt -- W by 36 --
01/01 Away VMI -6.0 W by 20 +14.0
01/03 Away NC Greensboro -2.0 L by 7 -9.0
01/07 Home W Carolina -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/10 Away Chattanooga +1.0 L by 9 -8.0
01/14 Home Furman +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
01/17 Home E Tennessee St +3.0 L by 1 +2.0
01/21 Away Wofford +3.5 L by 10 -6.5
01/24 Home Chattanooga -4.5 W by 11 +6.5
01/29 Away Furman +5.5 L by 5 +0.5
02/01 Away W Carolina +1.5 W by 14 +15.5
02/05 Home The Citadel -13.5 W by 14 +0.5
02/07 Home Mercer (Pick) W by 20 +20.0
02/11 Home Wofford -5.5 W by 17 +11.5
02/14 Away E Tennessee St +6.0 W by 10 +16.0
02/19 Away The Citadel -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
02/21 Away Mercer +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
02/26 Home VMI -16.5 W by 19 +2.5
02/28 Home NC Greensboro -8.5 W by 9 +0.5
03/07 Neutral Furman -1.5 L by 5 -6.5

New Mexico St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Adams St. -- W by 11 --
11/11 Home New Mexico Highlands -- W by 16 --
11/15 Home New Mexico +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
11/21 Home Samford -8.5 W by 9 +0.5
11/25 Neutral UC Irvine +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
11/26 Neutral Georgia St -12.0 W by 19 +7.0
12/02 Neutral S Alabama -4.0 L by 2 -6.0
12/06 Away Abl Christian -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
12/13 Neutral Tulsa +4.0 L by 13 -9.0
12/21 Home Sam Houston -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
12/28 Home University of the Southwest -- W by 71 --
01/02 Away Florida Intl -1.5 L by 15 -16.5
01/04 Away Missouri St +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/08 Home W Kentucky -2.5 W by 16 +13.5
01/10 Home Middle Tenn -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
01/15 Away Liberty +9.0 L by 2 +7.0
01/17 Away Delaware -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
01/22 Home Missouri St -6.5 L by 9 -15.5
01/24 Home Florida Intl -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
01/28 Home Delaware -12.5 L by 9 -21.5
01/31 Away Kennesaw St +2.5 L by 23 -20.5
02/04 Away Louisiana Tech +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
02/07 Away UTEP -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/11 Home Liberty +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
02/14 Away Jacksonville St +2.0 W by 9 +11.0
02/21 Home UTEP -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/26 Away W Kentucky +4.5 L by 23 -18.5
02/28 Away Middle Tenn +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
03/05 Home Jacksonville St -6.5 W by 2 -4.5
03/07 Home Kennesaw St -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/10 Neutral Jacksonville St -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
03/11 Neutral Sam Houston +4.5 L by 8 -3.5