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Belmont at Middle Tenn: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Dec 7, 2025 4:30 pm - Murfreesboro, TN
Odds: Belmont by 3.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: BEL @ MTU

More Games From Dec 7, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 155.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 155.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 155.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BEL	MTU
Season	19-12-0	14-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	16-5-0	11-10-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	8-2-0	6-4-0
Home	10-4-0	6-6-0
Away	9-8-0	8-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Belmont Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Air Force	144.0	79-63	Under	-2.0
11/08	Home	Tennessee St	157.5	87-79	Over	+8.5
11/15	Away	Oral Roberts	170.5	83-60	Under	-27.5
11/19	Home	Lipscomb	159.5	75-68	Under	-16.5
11/21	Home	Fisk	--	96-49	Under	--
11/24	Neutral	St Francis PA	157.0	94-57	Under	-6.0
11/26	Neutral	Toledo	163.5	87-72	Under	-4.5
11/30	Away	Charleston	152.5	96-73	Over	+16.5
12/03	Home	Richmond	156.0	76-84	Over	+4.0
12/07	Away	Middle Tenn	154.5	83-62	Under	-9.5
12/13	Home	Illinois Chicago	154.5	87-84	Over	+16.5
12/16	Away	Evansville	148.0	83-78	Over	+13.0
12/19	Away	UC Irvine	151.5	84-58	Under	-9.5
12/29	Away	Indiana St	160.0	80-81	Over	+1.0
01/01	Home	Bradley	153.0	88-78	Over	+13.0
01/04	Home	S Illinois	158.5	67-68	Under	-23.5
01/07	Away	N Iowa	137.0	78-65	Over	+6.0
01/10	Away	Drake	147.5	78-76	Over	+6.5
01/13	Home	Valparaiso	147.0	78-74	Over	+5.0
01/17	Away	S Illinois	152.0	73-68	Under	-11.0
01/24	Home	Illinois St	150.5	80-69	Under	-1.5
01/28	Away	Valparaiso	145.5	78-77	Over	+9.5
01/31	Home	Murray St	163.5	103-86	Over	+25.5
02/03	Home	Drake	154.5	103-90	Over	+38.5
02/06	Away	Illinois Chicago	152.5	68-62	Under	-22.5
02/09	Away	Bradley	152.0	84-95	Over	+27.0
02/12	Home	N Iowa	139.0	91-86	Over	+38.0
02/15	Away	Murray St	166.5	87-70	Under	-9.5
02/21	Home	Indiana St	155.5	87-70	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Evansville	152.5	98-64	Over	+9.5
03/01	Away	Illinois St	150.5	74-81	Over	+4.5
03/06	Neutral	Drake	152.5	79-100	Over	+26.5

Middle Tenn Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	Milligan	--	100-51	Under	--
11/08	Home	Webster	--	109-56	Under	--
11/12	Away	Evansville	139.5	77-72	Over	+9.5
11/19	Away	Michigan	159.5	61-86	Under	-12.5
11/23	Neutral	Murray St	163.5	90-87	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	G Washington	159.5	79-92	Over	+11.5
11/25	Neutral	McNeese	147.5	62-72	Under	-13.5
12/01	Home	UAB	157.0	76-61	Under	-20.0
12/07	Home	Belmont	154.5	62-83	Under	-9.5
12/17	Home	Kennesaw St	160.5	68-67	Under	-25.5
12/21	Home	Cumberland	--	74-58	Under	--
12/29	Away	Houston	138.5	60-69	Under	-9.5
01/02	Home	Louisiana Tech	134.5	88-51	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	Sam Houston	156.5	68-67	Under	-21.5
01/08	Away	UTEP	138.5	80-83	Over	+24.5
01/10	Away	New Mexico St	142.5	59-55	Under	-28.5
01/14	Away	Louisiana Tech	132.5	58-59	Under	-15.5
01/17	Home	Missouri St	138.5	90-87	Over	+38.5
01/23	Away	Jacksonville St	134.5	58-75	Under	-1.5
01/29	Home	Liberty	135.5	65-81	Over	+10.5
01/31	Home	W Kentucky	138.5	60-65	Under	-13.5
02/04	Home	Florida Intl	151.5	84-88	Over	+20.5
02/07	Away	Delaware	132.0	88-89	Over	+45.0
02/12	Away	Kennesaw St	147.5	90-87	Over	+29.5
02/14	Away	W Kentucky	144.5	80-82	Over	+17.5
02/18	Away	Sam Houston	152.5	70-78	Under	-4.5
02/21	Home	Delaware	165.5	78-66	Under	-21.5
02/26	Home	UTEP	139.5	77-67	Over	+4.5
02/28	Home	New Mexico St	148.5	86-85	Over	+22.5
03/05	Away	Florida Intl	153.5	73-67	Under	-13.5
03/07	Away	Missouri St	145.5	75-63	Under	-7.5
03/12	Neutral	Louisiana Tech	133.5	69-80	Over	+15.5