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Belmont at Valparaiso: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Jan 28, 2026 8:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: Belmont by 5.5, Total Points: 145.5

Matchup Menu: BEL @ VALP

More Games From Jan 28, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 145.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 145.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Under 145.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BEL	VALP
Season	19-12-0	17-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	16-5-0	12-10-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	2-3-0
Last 10	8-2-0	6-4-0
Home	10-4-0	6-10-0
Away	9-8-0	11-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Belmont Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Air Force	144.0	79-63	Under	-2.0
11/08	Home	Tennessee St	157.5	87-79	Over	+8.5
11/15	Away	Oral Roberts	170.5	83-60	Under	-27.5
11/19	Home	Lipscomb	159.5	75-68	Under	-16.5
11/21	Home	Fisk	--	96-49	Under	--
11/24	Neutral	St Francis PA	157.0	94-57	Under	-6.0
11/26	Neutral	Toledo	163.5	87-72	Under	-4.5
11/30	Away	Charleston	152.5	96-73	Over	+16.5
12/03	Home	Richmond	156.0	76-84	Over	+4.0
12/07	Away	Middle Tenn	154.5	83-62	Under	-9.5
12/13	Home	Illinois Chicago	154.5	87-84	Over	+16.5
12/16	Away	Evansville	148.0	83-78	Over	+13.0
12/19	Away	UC Irvine	151.5	84-58	Under	-9.5
12/29	Away	Indiana St	160.0	80-81	Over	+1.0
01/01	Home	Bradley	153.0	88-78	Over	+13.0
01/04	Home	S Illinois	158.5	67-68	Under	-23.5
01/07	Away	N Iowa	137.0	78-65	Over	+6.0
01/10	Away	Drake	147.5	78-76	Over	+6.5
01/13	Home	Valparaiso	147.0	78-74	Over	+5.0
01/17	Away	S Illinois	152.0	73-68	Under	-11.0
01/24	Home	Illinois St	150.5	80-69	Under	-1.5
01/28	Away	Valparaiso	145.5	78-77	Over	+9.5
01/31	Home	Murray St	163.5	103-86	Over	+25.5
02/03	Home	Drake	154.5	103-90	Over	+38.5
02/06	Away	Illinois Chicago	152.5	68-62	Under	-22.5
02/09	Away	Bradley	152.0	84-95	Over	+27.0
02/12	Home	N Iowa	139.0	91-86	Over	+38.0
02/15	Away	Murray St	166.5	87-70	Under	-9.5
02/21	Home	Indiana St	155.5	87-70	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Evansville	152.5	98-64	Over	+9.5
03/01	Away	Illinois St	150.5	74-81	Over	+4.5
03/06	Neutral	Drake	152.5	79-100	Over	+26.5

Valparaiso Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	E Illinois	144.5	66-63	Under	-15.5
11/07	Away	Kentucky	157.0	59-107	Over	+9.0
11/12	Home	Nicholls	143.5	68-63	Under	-12.5
11/16	Home	Bryant	143.5	68-50	Under	-25.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland St	158.5	90-75	Over	+6.5
11/26	Home	S Indiana	150.5	56-64	Under	-30.5
11/29	Home	W Michigan	146.5	84-55	Under	-7.5
12/02	Away	Marquette	146.5	72-75	Over	+0.5
12/06	Home	Calumet	--	98-58	Under	--
12/13	Home	NC Wilmington	137.0	70-73	Over	+6.0
12/16	Away	Northwestern	146.0	70-86	Over	+10.0
12/21	Home	Murray St	155.0	79-85	Over	+9.0
12/29	Away	N Iowa	131.5	48-58	Under	-25.5
01/01	Away	S Illinois	146.5	70-75	Under	-1.5
01/04	Home	Illinois Chicago	144.5	66-59	Under	-19.5
01/07	Home	Illinois St	138.5	77-71	Over	+9.5
01/10	Away	Murray St	152.5	79-92	Over	+18.5
01/13	Away	Belmont	147.0	74-78	Over	+5.0
01/17	Home	N Iowa	130.5	54-44	Under	-32.5
01/21	Home	S Illinois	142.5	69-63	Under	-10.5
01/28	Home	Belmont	145.5	77-78	Over	+9.5
01/31	Away	Indiana St	145.5	76-72	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Bradley	144.5	65-72	Under	-7.5
02/06	Home	Evansville	136.0	70-63	Under	-3.0
02/09	Away	Drake	144.5	81-76	Over	+12.5
02/12	Away	Illinois St	138.5	64-86	Over	+11.5
02/15	Home	Indiana St	144.0	76-75	Over	+7.0
02/18	Home	Bradley	144.0	79-72	Over	+7.0
02/21	Away	Illinois Chicago	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
02/25	Home	Drake	146.5	74-71	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Evansville	138.5	79-80	Over	+20.5
03/05	Neutral	Indiana St	140.5	63-62	Under	-15.5
03/06	Neutral	Bradley	139.5	84-90	Over	+34.5