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Boise St at Fresno St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 8:00 pm - Fresno, CA
Odds: Boise State by 7.5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: BSU @ FRES

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Fresno St +7.5 Official TR Pick Fresno St 53% odds to cover
Fresno St +7.5 Power Rating Model Fresno St 71% odds to cover
Fresno St +7.5 Decision Tree Fresno St 53% odds to cover
Fresno St +7.5 Predictive Ratings Fresno St 61% odds to cover
Boise St -7.5 Similar Games Boise St 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record BSU adv FRES
Season 17-13-0 21-10-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 15-6-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 7-3-0
Home 8-7-0 12-5-0
Away 9-6-0 9-5-0

Boise St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Hawaii Pacific -- L by 1 --
11/08 Home Utah Valley -11.5 W by 24 +12.5
11/11 Home UT Rio Grande -16.5 W by 20 +3.5
11/15 Home Montana St -17.5 W by 4 -13.5
11/18 Home Wichita St -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
11/24 Neutral USC +4.5 L by 3 +1.5
11/25 Neutral NC State +6.5 L by 11 -4.5
11/26 Neutral Chaminade -- W by 26 --
12/06 Away Butler +3.0 W by 9 +12.0
12/10 Home Duquesne -14.5 W by 22 +7.5
12/14 Neutral Saint Mary's +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
12/20 Away Nevada -3.5 L by 15 -18.5
12/30 Home New Mexico -5.0 W by 9 +4.0
01/03 Away San Diego St +4.0 L by 3 +1.0
01/07 Home Grand Canyon -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
01/10 Home Utah St +2.0 L by 25 -23.0
01/13 Away UNLV -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
01/16 Home Colorado St -5.5 W by 6 +0.5
01/20 Away Wyoming -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
01/24 Home Air Force -23.5 W by 42 +18.5
01/27 Away San Jose St -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
01/30 Away Grand Canyon (Pick) L by 17 -17.0
02/03 Home Nevada -6.0 W by 4 -2.0
02/07 Away New Mexico +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/13 Home UNLV -10.5 L by 3 -13.5
02/18 Away Utah St +9.0 L by 19 -10.0
02/21 Home San Jose St -17.5 W by 15 -2.5
02/24 Home Wyoming -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
02/28 Away Fresno St -7.5 W by 16 +8.5
03/03 Home San Diego St -1.5 W by 9 +7.5
03/07 Away Colorado St -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
03/11 Neutral San Jose St -14.5 L by 10 -24.5

Fresno St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Fresno Pacific -- W by 37 --
11/05 Home SC Upstate -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
11/08 Home Long Beach St -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
11/12 Home UCSD -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
11/15 Home Utah Valley +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
11/18 Home SF Austin +2.5 W by 2 +4.5
11/21 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
11/26 Neutral Pepperdine -2.5 W by 23 +20.5
11/30 Home CS Bakersfield -10.5 L by 5 -15.5
12/06 Neutral Arkansas +19.5 L by 24 -4.5
12/10 Away CS Northridge +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
12/20 Away UNLV +8.5 L by 12 -3.5
12/30 Home Utah St +15.0 L by 9 +6.0
01/03 Home Nevada +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
01/06 Away San Jose St -1.0 W by 15 +14.0
01/10 Away San Diego St +15.0 L by 19 -4.0
01/13 Home Colorado St +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
01/17 Home Wyoming +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
01/21 Away New Mexico +14.5 L by 9 +5.5
01/24 Home Grand Canyon +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
01/31 Away Air Force -10.5 W by 17 +6.5
02/03 Home UNLV +1.0 W by 2 +3.0
02/07 Away Nevada +12.0 L by 10 +2.0
02/10 Away Utah St +21.5 L by 13 +8.5
02/14 Home Air Force -15.5 W by 30 +14.5
02/17 Away Wyoming +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
02/21 Home New Mexico +9.5 L by 2 +7.5
02/24 Away Colorado St +8.5 L by 4 +4.5
02/28 Home Boise St +7.5 L by 16 -8.5
03/03 Home San Jose St -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
03/07 Away Grand Canyon +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
03/11 Neutral Colorado St +7.5 L by 4 +3.5