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W Michigan at Valparaiso: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Nov 29, 2025 3:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: Valparaiso by 5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: WMU @ VALP

More Games From Nov 29, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Valparaiso -4.5 Official TR Pick Valparaiso 51% odds to cover
Valparaiso -4.5 Decision Tree Valparaiso 51% odds to cover
W Michigan +4.5 Power Rating Model W Michigan 80% odds to cover
W Michigan +4.5 Similar Games W Michigan 52% odds to cover
W Michigan +4.5 Predictive Ratings W Michigan 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record WMU adv VALP
Season 16-12-0 18-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-8-0 13-9-0
Streak W1 L3
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 8-5-0 10-5-1
Away 8-7-0 8-8-0

W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Coastal Car -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
11/06 Home Northwood (MI) -- L by 4 --
11/09 Away Campbell +9.5 L by 9 +0.5
11/12 Home Purdue FW +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
11/16 Away South Dakota +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
11/20 Away Ohio St +26.5 L by 33 -6.5
11/23 Home Mt St Mary's (Pick) W by 23 +23.0
11/29 Away Valparaiso +5.0 L by 29 -24.0
12/03 Home S Indiana -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
12/06 Away SIU Edward +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
12/14 Away Iowa +25.5 L by 40 -14.5
12/20 Home Buffalo +2.5 L by 17 -14.5
12/22 Home Defiance -- W by 37 --
12/30 Away Toledo +10.5 L by 5 +5.5
01/06 Away Miami OH +14.5 L by 11 +3.5
01/10 Home E Michigan +1.5 W by 17 +18.5
01/13 Home UMass +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/17 Away Akron +21.5 L by 15 +6.5
01/20 Home Bowling Green +6.5 L by 18 -11.5
01/24 Home C Michigan -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/27 Away N Illinois +1.5 L by 20 -18.5
02/03 Away Ohio +9.0 L by 20 -11.0
02/07 Away Texas St +6.0 L by 16 -10.0
02/11 Home Toledo +6.0 L by 11 -5.0
02/14 Away E Michigan +6.5 W by 14 +20.5
02/17 Home Akron +14.0 L by 17 -3.0
02/21 Away C Michigan +3.5 L by 13 -9.5
02/24 Away Bowling Green +11.5 W by 9 +20.5
02/27 Home Miami OH +11.5 L by 2 +9.5
03/03 Home Ball St -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
03/06 Away Kent St +13.5 L by 8 +5.5

Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home E Illinois -6.0 W by 3 -3.0
11/07 Away Kentucky +32.0 L by 48 -16.0
11/12 Home Nicholls -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/16 Home Bryant -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/19 Away Cleveland St +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
11/26 Home S Indiana -9.5 L by 8 -17.5
11/29 Home W Michigan -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
12/02 Away Marquette +17.5 L by 3 +14.5
12/06 Home Calumet -- W by 40 --
12/13 Home NC Wilmington +3.0 L by 3 0.0
12/16 Away Northwestern +14.5 L by 16 -1.5
12/21 Home Murray St +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
12/29 Away N Iowa +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
01/01 Away S Illinois +7.5 L by 5 +2.5
01/04 Home Illinois Chicago -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/07 Home Illinois St +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/10 Away Murray St +12.5 L by 13 -0.5
01/13 Away Belmont +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
01/17 Home N Iowa +2.0 W by 10 +12.0
01/21 Home S Illinois -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/28 Home Belmont +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
01/31 Away Indiana St +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/03 Away Bradley +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/06 Home Evansville -9.0 W by 7 -2.0
02/09 Away Drake +4.0 W by 5 +9.0
02/12 Away Illinois St +9.0 L by 22 -13.0
02/15 Home Indiana St -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
02/18 Home Bradley +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
02/21 Away Illinois Chicago +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/25 Home Drake -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
02/28 Away Evansville -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
03/05 Neutral Indiana St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/06 Neutral Bradley +5.5 L by 6 -0.5