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Texas St at Troy: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Dec 31, 2025 2:00 pm - Troy, AL
Odds: Troy by 8.5, Total Points: 145.5

Matchup Menu: TXST @ TROY

More Games From Dec 31, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 144.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 144.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over
Over 144.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TXST	TROY
Season	16-14-0	14-16-2
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-8-0	8-10-2
Streak	Ov 1	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	2-7-1
Home	6-9-0	5-6-0
Away	10-5-0	9-10-2

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Texas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Bowling Green	146.0	48-83	Under	-15.0
11/05	Home	Texas A&M-San Antonio	--	114-55	Under	--
11/08	Away	Tulane	146.0	71-79	Over	+4.0
11/12	Home	UTSA	147.5	80-69	Over	+1.5
11/15	Home	Texas So	144.5	77-67	Under	-0.5
11/18	Home	Abl Christian	138.5	63-49	Under	-26.5
11/21	Home	Little Rock	130.5	65-56	Under	-9.5
11/24	Home	Texas Lutheran	--	93-41	Under	--
11/28	Neutral	Seattle	136.5	52-66	Under	-18.5
11/29	Neutral	Lehigh	135.0	74-78	Over	+17.0
12/03	Away	Rice	134.0	72-77	Over	+15.0
12/10	Home	Southern	142.0	86-83	Over	+27.0
12/17	Home	Arkansas St	151.5	70-89	Over	+7.5
12/20	Home	S Alabama	137.0	67-65	Under	-5.0
12/31	Away	Troy	145.5	80-100	Over	+34.5
01/03	Away	UL Monroe	150.5	84-79	Over	+12.5
01/08	Away	Southern Miss	144.5	70-80	Over	+5.5
01/10	Away	Arkansas St	156.0	82-83	Over	+9.0
01/14	Home	Louisiana	134.0	59-54	Under	-21.0
01/17	Home	Southern Miss	140.5	74-67	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Coastal Car	140.5	70-72	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	J Madison	144.5	57-82	Under	-5.5
01/28	Home	Marshall	147.5	72-68	Under	-7.5
01/31	Home	Old Dominion	143.5	81-64	Over	+1.5
02/04	Away	Georgia So	151.0	77-71	Under	-3.0
02/07	Home	W Michigan	146.5	77-61	Under	-8.5
02/11	Home	Troy	141.0	74-62	Under	-5.0
02/14	Home	UL Monroe	149.5	95-84	Over	+29.5
02/19	Away	S Alabama	137.5	90-82	Over	+34.5
02/21	Away	Louisiana	134.5	54-67	Under	-13.5
02/27	Home	App State	135.5	60-57	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Southern Miss	140.5	77-81	Over	+17.5

Troy Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Kent St	142.5	103-97	Over	+57.5
11/07	Away	Furman	153.5	64-61	Under	-28.5
11/11	Home	Pensacola Christian College	--	121-56	Under	--
11/14	Away	Loyola Mymt	140.0	63-74	Under	-3.0
11/16	Away	CS Northridge	156.0	85-94	Over	+23.0
11/18	Away	San Diego St	137.5	108-107	Over	+77.5
11/20	Away	USC	159.0	106-107	Over	+54.0
11/24	Neutral	Toledo	160.5	68-75	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	St Francis PA	151.0	74-64	Under	-13.0
12/01	Home	W Georgia	150.5	89-93	Over	+31.5
12/06	Home	La Grange	--	101-47	Under	--
12/14	Away	UAB	155.0	86-85	Over	+16.0
12/20	Home	Marshall	155.0	70-63	Under	-22.0
12/31	Home	Texas St	145.5	100-80	Over	+34.5
01/03	Home	S Alabama	148.5	59-49	Under	-40.5
01/07	Away	Arkansas St	160.0	74-86	Push	0.0
01/10	Away	Louisiana	136.5	90-70	Over	+23.5
01/14	Home	Southern Miss	145.5	91-65	Over	+10.5
01/17	Home	Arkansas St	166.0	99-74	Over	+7.0
01/21	Away	Old Dominion	152.5	83-77	Over	+7.5
01/24	Away	Georgia So	159.5	83-78	Over	+1.5
01/29	Home	J Madison	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
01/31	Home	App State	137.0	44-66	Under	-27.0
02/04	Away	Georgia St	144.0	74-63	Under	-7.0
02/07	Home	Akron	157.5	79-69	Under	-9.5
02/11	Away	Texas St	141.0	62-74	Under	-5.0
02/14	Away	Southern Miss	144.5	65-69	Under	-10.5
02/18	Away	UL Monroe	153.0	77-76	Push	0.0
02/21	Away	S Alabama	144.5	54-65	Under	-25.5
02/24	Home	Louisiana	134.5	78-59	Over	+2.5
02/27	Home	UL Monroe	154.5	80-65	Under	-9.5
03/08	Neutral	Southern Miss	143.5	78-70	Over	+4.5
03/09	Neutral	Georgia So	152.5	77-61	Under	-14.5
03/19	Neutral	Nebraska	139.5	47-76	Under	-16.5