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Texas St at Arkansas St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 3:00 pm - Jonesboro, AR
Odds: Arkansas State by 11.5, Total Points: 156

Matchup Menu: TXST @ ARST

More Games From Jan 10, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Texas St +11.5 Official TR Pick Texas St 51% odds to cover
Texas St +11.5 Power Rating Model Texas St 51% odds to cover
Texas St +11.5 Similar Games Texas St 52% odds to cover
Texas St +11.5 Decision Tree Texas St 51% odds to cover
Texas St +11.5 Predictive Ratings Texas St 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TXST adv ARST
Season 14-15-1 15-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-10-1 7-12-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 10-5-0 7-6-0
Away 4-10-1 8-9-0

Texas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Bowling Green +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
11/05 Home Texas A&M-San Antonio -- W by 59 --
11/08 Away Tulane +12.5 L by 8 +4.5
11/12 Home UTSA -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
11/15 Home Texas So -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
11/18 Home Abl Christian -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
11/21 Home Little Rock -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
11/24 Home Texas Lutheran -- W by 52 --
11/28 Neutral Seattle +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
11/29 Neutral Lehigh -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
12/03 Away Rice +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/10 Home Southern -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
12/17 Home Arkansas St +5.0 L by 19 -14.0
12/20 Home S Alabama -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
12/31 Away Troy +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/03 Away UL Monroe -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/08 Away Southern Miss +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/10 Away Arkansas St +11.5 L by 1 +10.5
01/14 Home Louisiana -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
01/17 Home Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
01/22 Away Coastal Car +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/24 Away J Madison +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/28 Home Marshall +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/31 Home Old Dominion -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
02/04 Away Georgia So +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
02/07 Home W Michigan -6.0 W by 16 +10.0
02/11 Home Troy +5.0 W by 12 +17.0
02/14 Home UL Monroe -14.0 W by 11 -3.0
02/19 Away S Alabama +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
02/21 Away Louisiana -3.0 L by 13 -16.0
02/27 Home App State -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/06 Neutral Southern Miss -1.5 L by 4 -5.5

Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Ohio +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
11/07 Away SF Austin (Pick) L by 25 -25.0
11/11 Away Missouri St +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
11/15 Home Christian Brothers -- W by 28 --
11/19 Away Saint Mary's +20.5 L by 13 +7.5
11/21 Away SMU +14.5 L by 31 -16.5
11/24 Home Jacksonville St -4.5 W by 11 +6.5
11/28 Home N Dakota St -3.0 W by 5 +2.0
12/02 Home UT Arlington -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
12/06 Away Little Rock -9.5 W by 12 +2.5
12/13 Away Rice -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
12/17 Away Texas St -5.0 W by 19 +14.0
12/20 Away Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
12/30 Home Arkansas Tech -- W by 44 --
01/03 Home J Madison -10.0 L by 4 -14.0
01/07 Home Troy -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/10 Home Texas St -11.5 W by 1 -10.5
01/15 Away S Alabama -4.0 L by 4 -8.0
01/17 Away Troy +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
01/22 Away Georgia So -1.5 W by 17 +15.5
01/24 Away Georgia St -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
01/28 Home Old Dominion -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
01/31 Home Marshall -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
02/04 Away Coastal Car -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
02/07 Home Bowling Green -2.5 W by 37 +34.5
02/11 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 33 +14.5
02/14 Home S Alabama -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
02/19 Away Louisiana -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
02/21 Away UL Monroe -15.5 W by 8 -7.5
02/24 Home Southern Miss -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
02/27 Home Louisiana -13.5 W by 23 +9.5
03/05 Neutral Georgia So -7.5 L by 3 -10.5