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Texas St at Louisiana: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 1:00 pm - Lafayette, LA
Odds: Texas State by 3, Total Points: 134.5

Matchup Menu: TXST @ ULL

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 134.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 134.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Under 134.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TXST	ULL
Season	16-14-0	15-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-8-0	11-9-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 2
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	6-9-0	7-8-0
Away	10-5-0	8-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Texas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Bowling Green	146.0	48-83	Under	-15.0
11/05	Home	Texas A&M-San Antonio	--	114-55	Under	--
11/08	Away	Tulane	146.0	71-79	Over	+4.0
11/12	Home	UTSA	147.5	80-69	Over	+1.5
11/15	Home	Texas So	144.5	77-67	Under	-0.5
11/18	Home	Abl Christian	138.5	63-49	Under	-26.5
11/21	Home	Little Rock	130.5	65-56	Under	-9.5
11/24	Home	Texas Lutheran	--	93-41	Under	--
11/28	Neutral	Seattle	136.5	52-66	Under	-18.5
11/29	Neutral	Lehigh	135.0	74-78	Over	+17.0
12/03	Away	Rice	134.0	72-77	Over	+15.0
12/10	Home	Southern	142.0	86-83	Over	+27.0
12/17	Home	Arkansas St	151.5	70-89	Over	+7.5
12/20	Home	S Alabama	137.0	67-65	Under	-5.0
12/31	Away	Troy	145.5	80-100	Over	+34.5
01/03	Away	UL Monroe	150.5	84-79	Over	+12.5
01/08	Away	Southern Miss	144.5	70-80	Over	+5.5
01/10	Away	Arkansas St	156.0	82-83	Over	+9.0
01/14	Home	Louisiana	134.0	59-54	Under	-21.0
01/17	Home	Southern Miss	140.5	74-67	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Coastal Car	140.5	70-72	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	J Madison	144.5	57-82	Under	-5.5
01/28	Home	Marshall	147.5	72-68	Under	-7.5
01/31	Home	Old Dominion	143.5	81-64	Over	+1.5
02/04	Away	Georgia So	151.0	77-71	Under	-3.0
02/07	Home	W Michigan	146.5	77-61	Under	-8.5
02/11	Home	Troy	141.0	74-62	Under	-5.0
02/14	Home	UL Monroe	149.5	95-84	Over	+29.5
02/19	Away	S Alabama	137.5	90-82	Over	+34.5
02/21	Away	Louisiana	134.5	54-67	Under	-13.5
02/27	Home	App State	135.5	60-57	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Southern Miss	140.5	77-81	Over	+17.5

Louisiana Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Ball St	141.5	64-75	Under	-2.5
11/07	Home	SE Louisiana	136.5	58-52	Under	-26.5
11/11	Home	Tulane	135.5	62-66	Under	-7.5
11/14	Away	McNeese	134.5	62-88	Over	+15.5
11/18	Away	Stanford	140.5	66-93	Over	+18.5
11/21	Away	Santa Clara	140.0	43-80	Under	-17.0
11/24	Away	UC Davis	136.0	56-77	Under	-3.0
11/28	Home	Jackson St	136.5	45-51	Under	-40.5
12/03	Away	Lamar	129.5	55-65	Under	-9.5
12/06	Home	NC Wilmington	130.5	63-70	Over	+2.5
12/13	Away	Louisiana Tech	127.0	44-65	Under	-18.0
12/18	Away	Southern Miss	132.5	54-62	Under	-16.5
12/20	Away	UL Monroe	136.5	76-62	Over	+1.5
12/28	Home	Norfolk St	126.5	63-54	Under	-9.5
12/31	Home	S Alabama	128.0	58-63	Under	-7.0
01/03	Home	Southern Miss	129.5	67-74	Over	+11.5
01/08	Home	UL Monroe	139.5	85-79	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Troy	136.5	70-90	Over	+23.5
01/14	Away	Texas St	134.0	54-59	Under	-21.0
01/17	Away	S Alabama	130.5	59-56	Under	-15.5
01/22	Away	App State	123.0	58-72	Over	+7.0
01/29	Home	Georgia St	129.5	82-72	Over	+24.5
01/31	Home	Georgia So	144.0	69-60	Under	-15.0
02/04	Away	J Madison	132.0	64-61	Under	-7.0
02/07	Home	C Michigan	134.0	85-80	Over	+31.0
02/12	Home	Coastal Car	132.5	65-69	Over	+1.5
02/16	Away	Old Dominion	136.0	72-83	Over	+19.0
02/19	Home	Arkansas St	144.5	62-79	Under	-3.5
02/21	Home	Texas St	134.5	67-54	Under	-13.5
02/24	Away	Troy	134.5	59-78	Over	+2.5
02/27	Away	Arkansas St	146.5	58-81	Under	-7.5
03/03	Neutral	Georgia St	134.5	84-75	Over	+24.5
03/04	Neutral	J Madison	135.5	72-87	Over	+23.5