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Duke at North Carolina: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 6:30 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: Duke by 6, Total Points: 151.5

Matchup Menu: DUKE @ UNC

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 152.0	Official TR Pick	56% odds to go under
Under 152.0	Decision Tree	56% odds to go under
Over 152.0	Similar Games	55% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DUKE	UNC
Season	14-24-0	14-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-12-0	10-9-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 2
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	3-7-0
Home	5-10-0	6-12-0
Away	9-14-0	8-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Duke Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Neutral	Texas	154.0	75-60	Under	-19.0
11/08	Home	W Carolina	153.0	95-54	Under	-4.0
11/11	Away	Army	153.5	114-59	Over	+19.5
11/14	Home	Indiana St	163.5	100-62	Under	-1.5
11/18	Neutral	Kansas	148.5	78-66	Under	-4.5
11/21	Home	Niagara	145.0	100-42	Under	-3.0
11/23	Home	Howard	151.0	93-56	Under	-2.0
11/27	Neutral	Arkansas	160.0	80-71	Under	-9.0
12/02	Home	Florida	157.5	67-66	Under	-24.5
12/06	Away	Michigan St	141.5	66-60	Under	-15.5
12/16	Home	Lipscomb	152.0	97-73	Over	+18.0
12/20	Neutral	Texas Tech	152.5	81-82	Over	+10.5
12/31	Home	Georgia Tech	153.5	85-79	Over	+10.5
01/03	Away	Florida St	163.0	91-87	Over	+15.0
01/06	Away	Louisville	160.5	84-73	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	SMU	156.0	82-75	Over	+1.0
01/14	Away	California	149.0	71-56	Under	-22.0
01/17	Away	Stanford	149.0	80-50	Under	-19.0
01/24	Home	Wake Forest	151.5	90-69	Over	+7.5
01/26	Home	Louisville	157.0	83-52	Under	-22.0
01/31	Away	Virginia Tech	148.0	72-58	Under	-18.0
02/03	Home	Boston College	141.5	67-49	Under	-25.5
02/07	Away	North Carolina	151.5	68-71	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Pittsburgh	136.5	70-54	Under	-12.5
02/14	Home	Clemson	134.0	67-54	Under	-13.0
02/16	Home	Syracuse	145.0	101-64	Over	+20.0
02/21	Neutral	Michigan	150.5	68-63	Under	-19.5
02/24	Away	Notre Dame	142.5	100-56	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	Virginia	142.5	77-51	Under	-14.5
03/02	Away	NC State	150.5	93-64	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	North Carolina	147.5	76-61	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Florida St	150.5	80-79	Over	+8.5
03/13	Neutral	Clemson	134.5	73-61	Under	-0.5
03/14	Neutral	Virginia	139.5	74-70	Over	+4.5
03/19	Neutral	Siena	137.5	71-65	Under	-1.5
03/21	Neutral	TCU	141.5	81-58	Under	-2.5
03/27	Neutral	St John's	140.5	80-75	Over	+14.5
03/29	Neutral	UConn	135.5	72-73	Over	+9.5

North Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	C Arkansas	157.5	94-54	Under	-9.5
11/07	Home	Kansas	158.0	87-74	Over	+3.0
11/11	Home	Radford	163.5	89-74	Under	-0.5
11/14	Home	NC Central	159.5	97-53	Under	-9.5
11/18	Home	Navy	161.0	73-61	Under	-27.0
11/25	Neutral	St Bonaventure	151.5	85-70	Over	+3.5
11/27	Neutral	Michigan St	152.5	58-74	Under	-20.5
12/02	Away	Kentucky	163.5	67-64	Under	-32.5
12/07	Home	Georgetown	149.5	81-61	Under	-7.5
12/13	Home	SC Upstate	152.5	80-62	Under	-10.5
12/16	Home	E Tennessee St	150.5	77-58	Under	-15.5
12/20	Neutral	Ohio St	157.5	71-70	Under	-16.5
12/22	Home	E Carolina	144.5	99-51	Over	+5.5
12/30	Home	Florida St	166.5	79-66	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	SMU	155.5	83-97	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Wake Forest	155.0	87-84	Over	+16.0
01/14	Away	Stanford	148.0	90-95	Over	+37.0
01/17	Away	California	151.0	78-84	Over	+11.0
01/21	Home	Notre Dame	149.0	91-69	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Virginia	148.5	85-80	Over	+16.5
01/31	Away	Georgia Tech	159.5	91-75	Over	+6.5
02/02	Home	Syracuse	158.0	87-77	Over	+6.0
02/07	Home	Duke	151.5	71-68	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Miami	156.5	66-75	Under	-15.5
02/14	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	79-65	Under	-0.5
02/17	Away	NC State	155.5	58-82	Under	-15.5
02/21	Away	Syracuse	154.0	77-64	Under	-13.0
02/23	Home	Louisville	162.5	77-74	Under	-11.5
02/28	Home	Virginia Tech	149.5	89-82	Over	+21.5
03/03	Home	Clemson	141.5	67-63	Under	-11.5
03/07	Away	Duke	147.5	61-76	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Clemson	140.5	79-80	Over	+18.5
03/19	Neutral	VCU	150.5	78-82	Over	+9.5